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Middle East crisis live: Trump claims breakthrough reached in Gaza disarmament; Hamas confirms deal

The new agreement on Hamas disarming comes after the Palestinian militant group earlier this month announced the dissolution of its body that governed Gaza for two decades, clearing the way for a US-backed interim administration to implement civilian rule in the territory. The move marked a significant political shift by Hamas, which has run Gaza since its forces seized control from rival Palestinian movement Fatah in 2007 after winning legislative elections the previous year. While announcing that it was ready to hand over security as part of a transition, Hamas made no promise to disarm unilaterally, as Israel and the US had demanded. Julian Borger and Seham Tantesh reported then that the interim administration to which Hamas has offered to transfer governance, known as the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), had been blocked from entering Gaza by Israel since its creation in January as part of a US-brokered ceasefire, adding further doubt to the timing of any future handover. Analysts said the Hamas announcement was largely a symbolic gambit aimed at reviving a stalled peace process that has blocked reconstruction and humanitarian relief for Gaza’s surviving 2.1 million population. They also said the move was designed to counter Israeli-led proposals to limit relief, reconstruction and NCAG governance to a tiny proportion of Gaza’s population in purpose-built villages in the roughly 60% of Gaza under direct Israeli army control.

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Could AI take your job? Some workers in China already know the answer

On the tree-lined streets of Wuhan, where cars jostle for space with mopeds and cargo trucks, the malfunctioning of a new type of vehicle has recently been causing chaos on the city’s roads. In March, several cars from a fleet of driverless taxis stopped abruptly in the streets. The “system malfunction” left distressed riders stranded for hours. The robotaxis, known as Apollo Go and powered by artificial intelligence (AI), were taken off Wuhan’s streets for months for investigations. But the outage was a boon for 45-year-old taxi driver Yao Xinnong. His wages, which had fallen by about 40% since Apollo Go launched in 2022, jumped back up as customers returned. “I don’t really like them, to be honest,” Yao says of the driverless cabs operated by the tech giant Baidu. “Their impact has been huge”. China is encouraging the deployment of AI at a scale unseen in the west. The technology is being rolled out at a staggering rate in an increasingly precarious labour market, and the Wuhan episode helped to highlight the social tensions it is causing. Gig workers like Yao are fearful about the impact of AI on their livelihoods, while recent incidents of white-collar workers being replaced by AI have also sparked a debate over whether workers should embrace the technology – or try to compete with it. Addressing Shanghai’s World AI Conference in July, China’s leader, Xi Jinping, said that AI should be “an important driver for shared prosperity and common security”. But that goal is being pursued amid an increasingly fragile labour market. As well as suffering from high levels of unemployment, China has seen tens of millions of workers drop out of formal employment into the gig economy. According to one thinktank, the number of people in flexible employment will rise to 320 million this year, up from 160 million in 2019. That is about 44% of China’s workforce. Taxi drivers are one part of this huge cohort. Across the country, as previously heavyweight industries such as real estate and education have floundered, workers have turned to ride-hailing apps to make ends meet. But now the rollout of robotaxis, one of the most popular applications of AI that is already in use in China, is threatening their livelihoods. “If the state really took you into consideration, Apollo Go would never have gone on the market,” says one Wuhan driver. “If things keep going this way in the future, sure, rapid development and scientific progress are great, but ordinary people like us will have no place to survive,” she adds. In 2024, taxi drivers in Wuhan protested against the rollout of Apollo Go in their city. It is unclear how many people took part, because news of the protests were quickly censored. Several drivers interviewed in Wuhan said they had heard about the protests but denied being involved. That year, a Wuhan taxi company, took the rare step of publicly criticising the government’s policy to allow automation on to the city’s streets. “The recent rise of autonomous ride-hailing vehicles has allowed technology to monopolise resources and take away the livelihoods of people at the bottom of society,” the letter said. Authorities in China do not take kindly to public criticism. When the Guardian visited the taxi company’s office in July, an employee declined to be interviewed, citing an agreement with the police to refuse interviews and the risk of detention if he violated the agreement. But two years later, the government is echoing some of the same concerns first voiced by the Wuhan drivers. An editorial published in the state-run Workers’ Daily said that employment rights were “facing new challenges” in the age of AI. The article warned of a “collision between traditional employment rules and the iteration of AI technology”. The government recently pledged to “comprehensively address the impact of changes in the external environment and the development of new technologies such as artificial intelligence on employment”. Selina Xu, a China technology analyst, said there had been a “major vibe shift” from Beijing. She says that after the success of local AI model DeepSeek last year, China was “very pro AI development”. “This year, if you look at certain new guidelines that have been published … there has been a lot more emphasis placed on AI for boosting employment and people-first approaches,” Xu says. Cheng Wanhui, an official for the local government in Beijing’s hi-tech zone of Zhongguancun, says that the authorities are “paying close attention to the social issues AI brings, as well as potential ethical concerns.” “The key is for everyone to shift their mindset, see AI as a tool, and learn how to apply it in their future work,” Cheng says. Recent court rulings have awarded compensation to white-collar workers laid off by their firms to be replaced by AI. But many workers fear the AI uptake will be a barrier to them being offered a job in the first place. Tian Zemin, a cinematographer who works in Beijing, has worked in the film industry for nearly two decades. But now he’s out of work. “I spent six gruelling years working my way up to become a cinematographer, only to be replaced by a piece of software,” he wrote in a social media post about AI. “I thought I would spend my whole life in this industry. But the emergence of AI has made me feel a huge shock for the first time,” he tells the Guardian. Many of Tian’s peers are losing out as AI becomes more widely adopted across the film industry. His own rate as a freelancer is now 40% of what it was in 2019. Tian said he’s been shocked at AI’s progress. Last year, it made shonky, weird looking avatars. Now it can make convincing digital clones who have the range to carry a feature length film. “We have barely had time to react,” Tian says. Many analysts believe that China, where the government exerts significant control over the private sector, will be better placed than the US to contain the fallout from AI-related job losses. Beijing could for example instruct companies to comply with hiring quotas, Xu says. But for Tian, protections may not come soon enough. “We could be replaced at any moment,” he says. “Perhaps the only thing we can do is adapt as quickly as possible, and try to find the corner that AI still cannot replace – but that corner is getting smaller and smaller.” Additional research by Yu-chen Li

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Ukraine war briefing: Trump says he is ‘not sure’ about letting Ukraine build Patriot missiles

Donald ⁠Trump has cast doubt on allowing Ukraine to build Patriot missiles, saying in an interview he was “not sure” about the move. The US president told the Financial Times: “It’s a very extraordinary weapon, and we have to be ⁠a little bit careful of who we licence to.” Earlier this week, Volodymyr Zelenskyy met Trump at the White House where the Ukrainian president said he had discussed licensing arrangements to let Ukraine manufacture its own interceptors for Patriot missile systems. Officials from Patriot maker Raytheon Co have already been to Ukraine, and Lockheed Martin Corp, which ‌builds the PAC-3 interceptors for the air ‌defence system, was also working to send over a team of experts, Ukraine’s envoy to Washington, Olha Stefanishyna, said on Thursday. ⁠The FT also reported that Trump envoys Jared ‌Kushner and Steve Witkoff would visit Ukraine for the first time in the ‌coming days. Donald Tusk has visited the scene of an explosion caused by a Russian missile 50 miles from Poland’s border with Ukraine. The Polish prime minister said: “From the analysis of most of the traces, the recovered fragments point to a Russian KH-101 missile”, but added that there was no reason to think that Poland had been the target. Tusk said the Polish military had been prepared to shoot it down if it threatened a built-up area. The missile explosion triggered Nato air defences, in the midst of a massive air raid that killed 13 people in Ukraine. Nato’s supreme ⁠allied commander for Europe, Gen Alexus Grynkewich, said: “Nato will continue to take all necessary measures ‌to defend Nato territory.” A drone factory in Kyiv destroyed by a Russian ballistic missile was owned by a US corporation, in what appears to be the first time Moscow has targeted a US company in the conflict. Friday’s strike hit Terminal Autonomy, a US corporation registered in Delaware that makes precision “deep-strike” drones with guidance systems that are resistant to Russian jamming signals, according to a person familiar with the company. Terminal Autonomy did not reply to an emailed request for comment. The Ukrainian defence ministry also did not respond to an email. France’s interior minister has defended an expulsion order against pro-Kremlin Russian commentator Xenia Fedorova, saying it was “not an infringement on freedom of expression”. Minister Laurent Nunez told broadcaster BFMTV that Fedorova, a former head of the Kremlin-funded RT news network, “simply and purely relays Russian propaganda”. “We are dealing with a very serious matter, namely an attack on the fundamental interests of the nation,” he said. However, views similar to hers would continue to be given a platform in France, Nunez added. “I have no doubt whatsoever that the people who espouse theories like those promoted by this individual will continue to disseminate them,” he said, referring to some French politicians. France ordered Fedorova to leave the country after accusations she was relaying Kremlin propaganda on French television. Fedorova’s lawyer has said his client will file an appeal.

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Spain sends extra troops and police to Ceuta after thousands of migrants arrive

The Spanish government is deploying extra troops and police officers to its north African enclave of Ceuta after thousands of people swam and waded into the tiny territory from neighbouring Morocco in a matter of hours. Videos shot at Tarajal beach on Thursday showed crowds of people walking around the breakwaters and running on the beach and roads. Most appeared to be young men, but there were also families with women and children. “Viva España!” some shouted to a freelance photographer working for the Associated Press, who was filming the scene. A spokesperson for the Guardia Civil force, which polices Spain’s borders, said ⁠the migrants were “massively entering from the sea” through the Tarajal breakwater, but could not provide an estimate of the numbers. On Thursday evening, Spain’s interior ministry announced that 60 members of the armed forces would be deployed to Ceuta, along with an additional 30 Guardia Civil officers. “The armed forces will reinforce the Guardia Civil in the exercise of its powers and any others that may be necessary to maintain security in the city of Ceuta,” the ministry said. But it rejected calls for the declaration of a national emergency, saying such emergencies could not be declared over migration issues, and could be declared only in response to dire meteorological events – such as the current wildfires – or in the face of a volcanic or nuclear threat. Sánchez said his government would provide “an immediate response” to the situation in Ceuta, which echoes the border crisis in 2021 when more than 8,000 people arrived in just two days.“We’re mobilising all necessary resources, working with Moroccan and international authorities, and preparing the necessary measures to restore normality as soon as possible,” he said in a post on X. “I just conveyed this to President Vivas. This is the moment to build solutions, with responsibility and cooperation.” Ceuta and Spain’s other north African territory of Melilla make up the EU’s only land border with Africa. Both cities periodically experience crowds of would-be migrants attempting to reach Europe. Spain’s national broadcaster, TVE, reported that between 2,000 and 3,000 people had crossed into Ceuta, while the state news agency, Efe, said some had entered the territory by scaling the high border fence. Efe also reported that Moroccan authorities in riot gear were using teargas and water cannon to disperse people near the border. “The situation is absolute chaos,” said Rachid Sbihi, the head of the association that represents Guardia Civil officers in Ceuta. “It’s not possible to give precise numbers, but there are thousands of migrants crossing.” He added that the border had “totally collapsed”. Agence France-Presse quoted a government spokesperson as saying that nine bodies had been recovered. Achraf Maimouni, a member of the Moroccan Association for Human Rights, described the situation as “exceptional”. He said the Tarajal border had been opened “under unusual circumstances” on Thursday morning and people had crossed over. Juan Jesús Vivas, the president of Ceuta, demanded the deployment of additional police and troops “to guarantee the inviolability of the frontier” and citizens’ safety. He also called on the central government to declare a national emergency over the crossings. Vivas had said on Wednesday that migrant reception centres were overwhelmed, with hundreds of people sleeping on the streets. He said Ceuta needed “more resources, more infrastructure, more regulation and effective coordination between all the administrations”. “We’re not looking for privileges; we’re looking for a fair and responsible solution in line with our reality,” he added. This month Spain’s supreme court ruled that migrants intercepted at sea while attempting to reach Ceuta or Melilla could not be summarily returned under the enclaves’ special border rejection regime. The Guardia Civil spokesperson told Reuters: “It has been a slow trickle since the supreme court’s ruling, but today has been an explosion.” The latest arrivals sparked tensions with Italy, whose prime minister and foreign minister called for Spain to be suspended from the EU’s visa-free Schengen travel zone. Giorgia Meloni said on X: “We are convening the relevant bodies, and following these meetings, we are prepared to intervene with extraordinary measures to defend the borders and the safety of citizens, including the suspension of the Schengen Area with Spain.” When foreign minister Antonio Tajani made a similar call earlier in the day, his Spanish counterpart, Jose Luis Albares, accused him of weaponising immigration for political ends. He said such remarks were “improper” for “a partner and friendly country from which we expect European solidarity and not partisan demagoguery”. In Ceuta, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, the leader of the conservative opposition People’s party, to which Vivas belongs, said the situation was desperate. “The government can’t look the other way, because we are facing a national security crisis,” he added. Santiago Abascal, who leads the far-right Vox party, described the incident as an “invasion” and said those crossing into Ceuta were not fleeing war or poverty but had been summoned by Sánchez’s government to ensure he could remain in power. Moroccan government sources attributed the surge to “criminal organisations” and said its cooperation with Spain remained “exemplary”. The mass crossing into Ceuta in May 2021 came amid heightened tensions between Madrid and Rabat over Spain’s decision to allow a Western Sahara independence leader to be treated for Covid-19 in Spain. Speaking at the time, Sánchez hinted at a link between the sudden relaxing of border controls and the diplomatic tensions. “As the president of Spain, I believe firmly that Morocco is a partner country, it’s a country that is a friend of Spain and it should continue this way,” he said. “To be effective, this cooperation needs to always be based on respect. Respect for mutual borders.”

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Race to extinguish blazes across Europe as fire weather breaks records

Fire weather in the EU has broken records for severity for this time of year, data shows, as firefighters race to extinguish blazes across the Mediterranean. Inflamed by carbon pollution, the hot, dry and windy weather across the EU from the start of the year until the end of July has been 43% more severe than the average for the same period over the last two decades, data from the European Forest Fire Information Service (Effis) shows. Three firefighters died in Greece on Tuesday, officials said, while firefighters in France and Spain made overnight progress tackling monster blazes that have burned dangerously close to large cities. The figures, which were published on Thursday but may be revised further, showed that so far this year 435,000 hectares (1,075,000 acres) have burned, roughly triple the recent historical average. The devastation is the result of 1,400 fires, more than double the average. In France, where a blaze in the dense pine forests near Bordeaux grew so big it generated a rare thunderstorm that could ignite more fires, a total of 91,000 hectares have burned, according to Effis, breaking the country’s record for a full year of fires – with one month of summer still to go. Fire-ravaged south-western France experienced its “first somewhat optimistic day” on Thursday since wildfires broke out more than a week ago, said Sophie Brocas, the prefect of Gironde. “It is the first somewhat optimistic day, because we have the feeling that we are beginning to return to normal life and that things are starting to improve significantly.” Regional authorities in Gironde said the fire remained under control after a quiet night, with work continuing around its edge and in active hotspots. They said temperatures on Thursday had been expected to be “fairly favourable” after Wednesday’s 38C heat and strong winds hampered firefighting efforts. They allowed a further 84,000 people to return home on Thursday, after 60,000 people were given the green light on Tuesday. In Spain, which experienced its largest wildfire on record, west of Madrid, a total of 207,000 hectares have burned across the country, according to Effis. The figure is nearly five times the average for this time of year but shy of the devastation reached by late July during the 2022 fires. Regional authorities in Madrid said the fire situation had been declared “stable” but residents of seven housing estates were unable to return home. Pedro Sánchez, the prime minister, announced the end of the national emergency in the regions of Ávila and Madrid on Thursday morning. However, a new fire near the Portuguese border prompted the evacuation of 600 people, officials said. Aemet, the Spanish meteorological agency, said temperatures above 35C were expected on Thursday in large areas of the interior, with some regions bracing for highs of 40C-42C. Wildfires in France and Spain have forced more than 300,000 people from their homes and tourist accommodation this month, prompting both countries to request EU support in the form of firefighters, fire engines, and water-dropping planes and helicopters. Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, thanked firefighters for their “courage and commitment” on Wednesday as crews sent by Romania and Greece extended their stays. “As the fires in France and Spain continue to ravage, European solidarity knows no limit,” she said. Further difficult weeks were expected as fires worsened in Italy and Greece, officials at the EU’s crisis management centre said on Wednesday morning. Later that day, the Greek fire department announced the deaths of two firefighters who were tackling a blaze on the island of Crete, and of another in the south of the mainland. Greece has so far had a relatively calm fire season, Effis data up to 29 July shows, with slightly fewer fires than usual and a burned area well below the average. Meanwhile, Italy and Portugal have had near-record breaking numbers of fires, and burned areas well above average. The countries have so far been spared the scale of destruction experienced by France and Spain, but one firefighter died in Italy last week while tackling blazes in Sicily. Climate breakdown is causing Europe to burn this summer, with a series of almost back-to-back heatwaves drying out vegetation, which then provides a vast fuel surplus that has allowed small fires to grow into raging infernos. Sánchez repeated calls to create a “national pact” to address the climate emergency during a visit to a command post on Wednesday. “These fires may or may not be caused by humans, but in any case, they increase exponentially as a result of these high temperatures, low humidity, and also the atmospheric phenomena that these fires, these large fires, cause in our forests,” he said. A study by an international team of scientists, published in the journal Scientific Reports, found that since the 1980s, the number of fires in southern Europe and the area burned had steadily declined as authorities became better at preventing and suppressing them. The study, published on Thursday, found the trend began to reverse in 2018. It found that summer days conducive to strong wildfires had more than doubled since 1981 across large parts of Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece; in parts of France and Spain, the summertime fire weather index over the last decade was up to 50% higher than the 1981-2010 average. The scientists said this had resulted in European fires shifting to “fewer, but more intense and larger events”, with fires that escaped initial attacks by firefighters able to “quickly become catastrophic”. José Miguel Viñas, a meteorologist at the forecaster Meteored, who was not involved in the research, said it scientifically demonstrated a fact that southern Europe and other parts of the world had observed in recent years. “Increasingly extreme conditions of heat, dryness and wind are fuelling large forest fires,” he said. “Once started, they spread rapidly and become uncontrollable, overwhelming the firefighting efforts.” Rapid analyses have found western Europe’s June heatwave would have been “virtually impossible” in a world without climate breakdown, while the level of soil dryness – a major factor in bigger blazes – is five times more likely than it would be in a climate 1.4C cooler. The heatwaves are estimated to have killed at least 10,000 people and cost grain farmers €2bn (£1.7bn) in lost crops. The increase in temperatures from fossil fuel pollution has come as rural regions in southern Europe have hollowed out, with farms being abandoned as populations age and young people move to cities. The resultant overgrowth in vegetation has troubled firefighters and wildfire researchers across the Mediterranean.

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Saudi Arabia prepares sea and possible land offensive against Houthis

Saudi Arabia is preparing for a major military offensive against the Houthis by sea and possibly by land in central Yemen, Yemeni sources believe, in a move to break the chokehold on its oil exports through the southern Red Sea. Saudi forces have been seen withdrawing from the east of Yemen in what could be preparation for a land offensive. At the same time, Riyadh is trying to organise a naval coalition to protect shipping from Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab strait. The Saudi defence ministry said on Thursday that 14 states including Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt, Sudan and Djibouti had issued a joint statement supporting a multinational maritime defence coalition. The Iran-aligned Houthis, who control Yemen’s capital, Sana’a, and much of its Red Sea coastline, announced on 20 July that they were implementing a blockade against Saudi ships, but they have denied they are planning to impose tolls on all ships. The group says it will lift the blockade once Saudi Arabia lifts its blockade on Yemen, positioning the dispute as over the future of Yemen and not directly about Iran. Saudi Arabia intervened in the Yemeni civil war in 2015 in support of the country’s UN-recognised government against the Houthi rebels. Riyadh has also asked the US and a group of European countries including Germany, France, the UK and Italy to join a Red Sea coalition. The EU already has a naval protection mission, Aspides, operating in the Red Sea and it remains unclear if the Houthis are mounting a general blockade or one directed solely at Saudi Arabia. Houthi forces said on 25 July they had hit “sensitive” oil transport sites inside Saudi Arabia linking eastern province oilfields to a Red Sea export hub. If the Red Sea route is closed to Saudi shipping in addition to the strait of Hormuz blockade on the other side of the Arabian peninsula, the kingdom’s oil export will be severely constrained. Up to 80% of Saudi crude exports were shipped through the strait of Hormuz before the Iran war began. The Red Sea has therefore grown in importance, with more than half of Saudi oil now transported overland to loading terminals at the port city of Yanbu. Saudi strikes in Iraq on Wednesday killed at least 20 people as it hit back at Iraqi militia for striking its oil facilities. Donald Trump said the joint US-Saudi attacks had been mounted with the agreement of the Iraqi government, a claim that Baghdad did not confirm. The Saudi defence minister, Prince Khalid bin Salman, held an urgent meeting with Trump and JD Vance on Wednesday to discuss the next steps. The Saudis are keen to show they will defend themselves and their industry, but are not willing to escalate the war against Iran, arguing that the disagreements between the US and Iran can still be settled by diplomacy. The troop movements inside Yemen involve concentrating forces for what could be an attack on al-Bayda, a governorate in central southern Yemen captured by the Houthis in 2020-21, the sources said. Fighting between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia has erupted in the past fortnight with the Houthis mounting attacks against Saudi Aramco facilities. The strikes inside Saudi Arabia came hours after Saudi airstrikes targeted Houthi-controlled sites in the port of Hodeidah and a third Saudi commercial vessel was attacked in the Red Sea. Saudi Arabia and the Houthis have been vying for control of Yemen for more than a decade and an uneasy status quo has unravelled over the past month. The tensions inside Yemen would be reduced if the Gulf states and Iran could reach an agreement for the reopening of the strait of Hormuz. Talks between Oman and Iran are continuing, with Iran demanding that all shipping enter the strait through a northern route close to Iran’s coast.

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Russian missile destroys US firm’s Kyiv drone factory

A drone factory in Kyiv destroyed by a Russian ballistic missile on Friday was owned by a US corporation registered in Delaware, in what appears to be the first time Moscow has targeted a US company in the conflict. Terminal Autonomy makes precision “deep-strike” drones with guidance systems that are resistant to Russian jamming signals, according to a person familiar with the company. The phrase “terminal autonomy” refers to the final phase of a kamikaze drone’s attack in which AI takes over control of the weapon after the defending force jams radio waves or mobile service. State records show that the corporation was registered in Delaware in 2023. The company’s website says: “We deploy AI-guided loitering munitions and precision munitions, which are already in active service against enemy assets on the frontline.” Terminal Autonomy did not reply to an emailed request for comment. The Ukrainian defence ministry also did not respond to an email. Anthony Vinci, a former senior US intelligence officer who wrote The Fourth Intelligence Revolution: The Future of Espionage and the Battle to Save America, said: “The Russians don’t care who owns the manufacturing facility. It’s still a target. They don’t care if it’s American or someone else’s.” Early in July, Donald Trump, who had previously been lukewarm to efforts to arm Ukraine, said the US would license Ukraine to manufacture Patriot anti-aircraft missiles. Vinci said: “I do think if Patriot missiles or any American system was manufactured in Ukraine, I think the Russians would target that manufacturing facility.” The Russian state news agency Tass first reported on the attack on Sunday, citing the Russian defence ministry as its source. The report did not disclose that an American company owned the factory but mentioned that “specialists from a Ukrainian-American company” had worked there. Tass accurately reported that the plant made AQ-400 Scythe and AQ-100 Bayonet drones. Nobody was killed in the attack, according to a source familiar with the company.