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Europe live: Officials warn that wildfires could still be burning in November

Scientists say Europe is enduring a “firewave”, the wildfire equivalent of a heatwave, fuelled by “whiplash” weather supercharged by the climate crisis. Guillermo Rein, professor of fire science at Imperial College London: So far, Europe is not experiencing an unprecedented number of wildfires. What is uncommon is the current number of destructive wildfires: fires that spread rapidly, overwhelm fire brigades and force communities to evacuate. The connection with this summer’s repeated heatwaves is strong. Prolonged periods of hot, dry weather leave vegetation unusually dry and therefore much more flammable. When an ignition occurs under these conditions, a wildfire can escalate rapidly. This is precisely why we coined the term ‘firewave’. This is the wildfire equivalent of a heatwave: a period of exceptionally high wildfire activity that overwhelms the emergency response of a city, region or nation. Firefighters cannot stop every wildfire, Rein said: As Europe adapts to even warmer summers, we need to move beyond reacting to disasters and start building wildfire protection before the next firewave arrives. Matthew Jones, at the University of East Anglia: A major factor behind these latest fires appears to be a ‘whiplash’ effect. Large stocks of dense vegetation built up during the unusually wet winter and spring and have since been parched by extreme heat, creating a tinderbox of fuels ready to burn. We are seeing this fingerprint of climate change around the world, but especially in Mediterranean and seasonally dry climates. The risks are rising, and the result has been a succession of deadly events, from southeast Australia, Chile and South Africa to the western US, and southern Europe. Climate scientists have been warning about these risks for decades: this is just one cost of inaction on climate. The impacts of climate change are already here, and Europe is once again experiencing them through loss of life, evacuations and severe economic disruption. Vikki Thompson, climate scientist at the University of Edinburgh: Climate change increases the risk of wildfires as an increase in hot and dry conditions lead to exceptional fire danger [and] Europe is the fastest warming continent, heating at roughly double the global average. We know this is caused by fossil fuel burning – and so a rapid phase-out of fossil fuels is critical to avoid even higher temperatures and their consequences. This week parts of the UK will experience the ‘perfect’ weather conditions for wildfires: hot, dry, and windy. This leads to the exceptional fire danger.

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Mayo beat 75-year-old ‘curse’ to become Gaelic football champions

The hex is broken, dispelled, banished, and a story that bewitched Ireland for decades has ended in fairytale: Mayo are all-Ireland champions. Seventy-five years after a supposed curse condemned its Gaelic men’s football team to endless defeat, the county prevailed and uncorked a wave of emotion that engulfed even its rivals. The team will return to the west of Ireland for a euphoric homecoming on Monday evening after winning the senior football championship, a victory that thrilled Ireland and Mayo’s diaspora, including Joe Biden, Mark Carney and Noel and Liam Gallagher. “Mayo 1-20, Kerry 1-17. Chisel it on the gravestones, scribble it in the sky,” the Irish Times exulted. “Croke Park untethered, the whole place afloat for an hour on a lake of the sweetest tears that were ever cried.” Most pundits had favoured Kerry to win the 138th all-Ireland final and write another chapter of Mayo woe at Sunday’s contest at the Dublin stadium. Instead the underdogs triumphed and even some Kerry fans wept at the catharsis. Few seriously believed in the curse – it was said no member of the last winning team from 1951 would live to see another – but there was no doubting the drought that followed, with 11 defeats in 11 finals since 1989. A book about Mayo’s quest was titled House of Pain. Whenever the county made it to a final, a frisson gripped television viewers and the 82,000-strong stadium crowd: was this the day they would witness the end of the hex? On Sunday it was. “To every young boy and girl across Mayo and our diaspora across the world, never stop dreaming, stick your chest out and be proud to be from Mayo,” the team captain, Jack Coyne, declared as he held aloft the trophy named after Sam Maguire, a legendary player. “The wait is over. Sam is home.” Authorities had provisionally estimated a crowd of 40,000 would greet the team at McHale Park in the county town of Castlebar on Monday but that looks conservative, Gerry Bourke, the homecoming committee chair, told RTÉ. “After what I saw in Croke Park yesterday, I think we’ll have to revisit the plan.” Mayo, a landscape of bogs, rocks and Atlantic cliffs, is the third biggest of the island of Ireland’s 32 counties. It is sparsely populated, with just 130,000 people, but players and supporters have a reputation for fervency in the Gaelic Athletic Association, the sport’s governing body. According to lore, the young victors of 1951 were on their way home to celebrate when they passed through the village of Foxford and failed to pay their respects to a funeral, prompting the enraged priest to utter the fateful words: “For as long as you all live, Mayo won’t win another all-Ireland.” Seven decades later, the last surviving member of that team, Paddy Prendergast, told friends he would willingly “roll over and die” if there was any truth to the curse, but that it was a myth. “There was supposed to have been a funeral in the local church; I don’t know whether there was or not. I saw people standing around the church but we didn’t get off the truck because we couldn’t get off the bloody truck,” he told an interviewer in 2017. Researchers who probed church records, press cuttings and other sources failed to find any verification of the supposed curse, which gained currency in the 1990s. The legend, however, is intact: Prendergast died in 2021, aged 95, two weeks after Mayo lost the final. Biden – who concluded a 2023 presidential visit to Mayo with the rallying cry “Mayo for Sam!” – congratulated his ancestral home county. “Today, the dream becomes reality,” he posted. “You earned this victory. Enjoy every minute.” Carney, the Canadian prime minister who made his own ancestral pilgrimage to Mayo last month, echoed the joy. “The curse is broken,” he posted. The Gallagher brothers of Oasis, who also have family ties to Mayo, expressed pride. “Finally!! Up Mayo!!” Noel posted.

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US pauses Iran attacks after Trump advised to halt bombing

The US has paused strikes on Iran for a third night as top military officials advised Donald Trump to halt his bombing campaign, and diplomatic negotiations have continued to avoid a return to all-out war. Oil prices fell on Monday as markets responded to the pause in combat. Trump is said to be weighing up diplomatic and military options in the nearly five-month-old conflict, with Benjamin Netanyahu expected to visit the White House on Tuesday. The Israeli prime minister is a vocal critic of Washington’s negotiations with Iranian leaders and has pressed for the US to continue its strikes against Iran. Netanyahu is under considerable political pressure to show that his military campaigns against Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon have yielded results before elections scheduled for October. Tehran said on Sunday it would pause what it called “retaliatory” attacks against US allies in the region. “These [US] attacks continued until two nights ago, but over the past two nights the Americans have stopped their attacks,” said the army spokesperson Mohammad Akraminia. “Our strategy has essentially been retaliatory, we have also halted our retaliatory operations.” Senior officials in the Trump administration are reported to have told the president about dwindling munitions stockpiles that could hamper a sustained military campaign in the region. Axios reported on Sunday that Adm Bradley Cooper, the top US military commander in the region, had told Trump the US military campaign had reached the limits of its effectiveness. The message was said to affect Trump’s decision to hold strikes on Iran for the first time in nearly two weeks. Cooper told Trump the US had nearly exhausted the list of targets that it had developed to attack in Iran, and without a return to major combat operations there was little point in continuing the bombing campaign, the news website reported. Asked on Sunday on NBC’s Meet the Press whether Trump was ruling out additional strikes in Iran, the president’s UN ambassador Mike Waltz said: “I wouldn’t go that far at all. The president is keeping all options on the table.” The lull in fighting, which began on Friday evening, follows nearly two weeks of strikes against Iran and the collapse of a ceasefire brokered by Trump. Washington blamed Iran for strikes on US forces and allies in the region and its closure of the strait of Hormuz, a conduit for an estimated 20% of the world’s oil and gas. Senior diplomats from Iran and Oman were said to be holding negotiations on Sunday on reopening the vital waterway and an official in Tehran confirmed colleagues had been in touch with US negotiators to prevent a return to war. Iran has demanded payment and control over which ships pass through the strait. “Mediators are working and trying to prevent tension from escalating,” the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, told a press conference on Sunday. But an Iranian army spokesperson signalled defiance, saying the US had no clear strategy and was “experiencing strategic decision-making fatigue”. The US vice-president, JD Vance, and Dan Caine, the chair of the joint chiefs of staff, warned Trump of the risks of a renewed military campaign against Iran at an Oval Office meeting on Friday, according to media outlets. The president then ordered the military to call off new strikes, which he had warned could “knock out everything they have”. “We’re talking to [the Iranians] right now,” Trump told reporters on Friday. “I think they’re getting more and more serious as the days go by. We’re locked and loaded and ready to go, but we’re talking to them.” At a White House Correspondents’ Association dinner that evening he said he did not think Iran was ready to make a deal but he was ready to listen. Caine warned Trump about dwindling munitions stockpiles, which include Patriot missile interceptors and offensive weapons like Tomahawk cruise missiles. Vance campaigned on his opposition to US military interventions in the Middle East and has grown more vocal in his opposition to the war in Iran. Netanyahu’s office announced on Sunday that he would convene a meeting of his security cabinet before leaving for Washington on Monday. He played a crucial role in lobbying Trump to launch joint strikes against Iran in February and has said that US negotiators must take a strong line on Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programme. US negotiators have instead prioritised opening the strait of Hormuz. Netanyahu will travel to Washington amid some of the worst violence this year in the West Bank, where his military is launching an “extensive” operation after the deaths of four Palestinians and two Israelis when armed settlers entered a Palestinian village on Thursday. The US and the UK under its new prime minister, Andy Burnham, are discussing plans for a high-level meeting in London this week to discuss the potential for a coalition to protect ships in the strait of Hormuz and de-mine the waterway. The discussions will be an early test for Burnham’s administration. The Labour government has so far refused to allow Washington to use a British airbase for offensive operations against Iran.

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The Ukrainian startup taking the missile fight deep into Russia

Ukraine’s leading arms company is manufacturing about 100 long-range Flamingo cruise missiles a month, a rate able to support an enduring campaign of deep strike against targets hundreds of miles inside Russia. Fire Point is also making FP-1 and FP-2 fixed-wing drones at a rate of “hundreds per day”, according to chief executive Iryna Terekh. Manufacturing at scale is restarting after a pause caused by the delay in signing off €90bn of EU lending to Ukraine. The startup’s development from its postwar foundation in 2022 demonstrates the rapid maturing of Ukraine’s homegrown defence industry, finally giving its military the long-range capabilities denied by the west earlier in the conflict. “I’m not aware of any deep strike attack that was happening in the past few months that was not involving our products,” Terekh said. Missile and drone attacks using Fire Point munitions were taking place at a daily rate of “on average five to 15”. Flamingo missiles, which can carry 1,150kg of explosive, enough to penetrate concrete walls, were used to attack a Russian military components factory at Cheboksary in June, more than 600 miles from Kharkiv, in Ukraine’s north-east. Their actual flight distance, Terekh said, was among “the longest recorded in the history of cruise missile missions”, at about 1,800km (1,118 miles) because of the complexity of the flight path. Each Flamingo costs a little under $600,000, the chief executive said, cheaper than a US Tomahawk, which cost approximately $3.5m. The lighter FP-1 drones in particular, which have a range of more than 1,000 miles, are used to attack less well defended Russian oil refineries in a campaign that has cut their production by 20% and led to long queues at petrol pumps. They cost between $55,000 and $75,000, Terekh added. Fire Point now operates from 83 factories inside Ukraine, plus another in Denmark, employing 6,000 people, up from 3,500 late last year, according to Terekh. The Guardian visited one manufacturing site last December, where dozens of men were assembling the plywood, plastic and carbon fibre structures into whole drones. “What we’re seeing now is the result of several years of effort by the Ukrainian side,” said Ben Hodges, a former general who commanded the US army in Europe. “They can not only reach deep inside Russia with precision and get past Russian air defences, their weapons also carry a payload big enough to achieve effect.” The result is an evolution in the long-running war, where Ukraine is closing in on Russia’s ability to conduct deadly long-range attacks. Each month Russia produces up to 70 air-launched Kh-101 cruise missiles, 25 sea-launched Kalibrs, according to Ukrainian estimates, plus a further 60 Iskander M ballistic missiles. Fire Point is also developing Ukraine’s first ballistic missiles, which Terekh hopes will be first launched by the end of the year. A variant of the short-range FP-7, meanwhile, will form the basis of the separate Freyja initiative, an international effort aimed at creating an alternative air defence system to the US Patriot, involving Ukraine and nine other European countries. Fire Point will make the launchers and interceptors, with a target cost of $1m per interceptor. “We adore Patriot,” Terekh said, but added that global manufacturing is nowhere near the current level of demand. Only Patriot systems are able to stop Russian ballistic missiles hitting Kyiv and elsewhere, but Ukraine’s stocks are out. “The whole Pac-3 missile production, the worldwide production rate is around 600-700 missiles per year; and this is exactly the amount of Patriot missiles that were consumed in the Middle East in two weeks,” she added. It is now hoped the technology can be first tested by July next year. Fire Point is largely owned by its founder, businessman Denys Shtilerman. Though Shtilerman held talks about selling a stake to Timur Mindich, a friend and former business associate of the president, Volodymr Zelenskyy, accused last year of running an energy corruption scheme, the founder says no deal went through. Terekh, who studied architecture before joining Fire Point in the summer of 2023, when it employed 18 people, said the company is an example of how the Russian invasion has urgently forced Ukraine – once at the heart of Soviet industry – to modernise and regenerate itself. “Ukraine, in a postwar economy, will need to be an exporter of things with a high additional added value. We do not want to be like a breadbasket any more for the world,” said Terekh, referring to Ukraine’s historical strength in agriculture. For now, however, the demands of the war mean Fire Point’s weapons are not exported.

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Monday briefing: ​How the Cockroach ​protests ​have expose​d the ​cracks in ​India’s government

Good morning. As flames engulfed parts of France and Spain this weekend, in India, the prime minister, Narendra Modi, was trying to put out a very different kind of fire. Thousands of people arrived in Delhi on Saturday to demand the resignation of his education minister, Dharmendra Pradhan. When he stepped down in the early afternoon, the protests turned into a triumphant block party. But the Cockroach protests that have swept through India this summer are about much more than a single minister. They have humiliated Modi and undermined the indomitable power of his Bharatiya Janata party (BJP) that has ruled India for the past 12 years. They’re also a lesson in using humour to political advantage. Modi likes to present himself as an infallible messiah, but young people have mocked the prime minister online and in the streets, calling him a “56-inch monkey” (a reference to Modi boasting about his ample 56-inch chest), and parodied his social media addresses. “Hating Modi is cool on the internet now, after years of criminalising dissent,” one told a reporter. Now the protesters have secured a victory, will their calls for revolution continue? For this morning’s newsletter, I spoke to our south Asia correspondent Hannah Ellis-Petersen, who has been reporting on the “Cockroaches” in Delhi, about what their anger stems from and what it means for the BJP. That’s after a roundup of the biggest stories of the weekend. Weekend roundup Wild fires | Authorities in France battled to contain a huge wildfire near Bordeaux in the south-west as Spain’s prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, warned Spain and the Iberian peninsula were suffering the effects of the climate emergency. Germany | A man suspected of driving a van into a crowd near Berlin’s Pride festival then going on a knife rampage in an Islamist terror attack has been shot dead by police, German officials have said. Iran | The US has paused strikes on Iran for a second night as top military officials advised Donald Trump to halt his bombing campaign, and diplomatic negotiations have continued to avoid a return to all-out war. UK politics | Britain’s foreign secretary, Ed Miliband, is to indicate he will put the climate crisis and overseas development at the heart of UK international relations by taking up the country’s seat on the board at the World Bank. UK news | Five Palestine Action activists face being sentenced as terrorists for breaking windows and throwing red paint at a branch of Barclays Bank in Lancashire. In depth: ‘What if all cockroaches come together?’ It started as a sardonic joke. On 16 May, Abhijeet Dipke, an Indian student at Boston University, posted on X: “What if all cockroaches come together?” It was a tongue-in-cheek response to India’s chief justice, who had called unemployed young Indians “cockroaches”. Online, thousands of people responded to Dipke’s message. Realising he had tapped into something big, Dipke flew to Delhi on 6 June and went to Jantar Mantar, its famous protest ground. The protests drew young people from across the country, and the Cockroach Janta party (CJP) – a play on the BJP’s name – created a website listing their demands, including reform of India’s education system. India has a young population who are better educated than ever before, but it has proven a weak point for the BJP, with the country’s universities crumbling and its economy failing to provide jobs for many graduates. Millions of young people spend years prepping for gruelling public exams in the hope of securing a decent job, and their parents go into debt or sell their land to fund these studies. To make matters worse, these exam papers are routinely leaked and sold to the highest bidder. “Anyone rich enough can buy the answers,” Hannah tells me. This is devastating for millions of young people, forcing them to retake tests for which they’ve already studied. After a medical entrance exam was leaked in May, at least 12 students took their own lives; some left notes behind saying they could not bear the thought of resitting the test. The leaks are a potent symbol of institutional corruption, inflaming the anger that young people feel towards a political system that is failing them. *** Thief, thief Sonam Wangchuk, an engineer and education reformer from Ladakh, joined the protest on 28 June and declared he would go on indefinite hunger strike until the education minister resigned. “The idea of a hunger strike has a particularly powerful resonance in India,” says Hannah. “Gandhi put his life on the line several times with his hunger strikes for independence.” Delhi police forcibly removed Wangchuk from Jantar Mantar on 18 July and took him to hospital, supposedly for the sake of his health. Footage of his hospital stay went viral, and the Cockroach party called for a march on parliament. On Monday, tens of thousands of people started to fill Delhi’s streets. “In my whole time covering India, I’ve never seen so many people turning out,” Hannah says. The mood was jubilant, but by the afternoon, things had turned violent as the police began firing teargas and using batons on the protesters. Despite that, many of the protesters stayed put, and Hannah went back to Jantar Mantar in the following days. “It was the place to be in India,” she says. “There were people camping out, delivery guys bringing pizza and biryani, people cooking food. It had become about more than just the education minister resigning. More, even than education.” The protesters’ very public displays of contempt – graffiti of Modi’s name under the image of a urinating dog; people stamping on a poster of his face and chanting “thief, thief” – would have seemed unimaginable just two weeks ago. “People were just revelling in the opportunity to speak their mind,” Rahul Bhatia, a writer and author of The New India, who attended the protests on Saturday, tells me. “It was delightful. It made people think: things are possible.” *** Modi lost control of the narrative Pradhan’s resignation is a major victory for the Cockroach protesters. He is a Modi loyalist and former organiser for the RSS, the Hindu supremacist group closely affiliated with the BJP (for more on its sinister ideology, it’s worth reading this fascinating 2020 piece by Samanth Subramanian). “It creates a crack in the BJP’s armour,” Hannah says. Modi has projected an image of total authority, but this is one of the first instances where he has bent to popular will. He demands unflinching loyalty from his ministers. They may now be questioning whether their positions are quite as secure as they thought. India has taken a sharp turn towards autocracy under the BJP. Its main media channels are controlled by (or intensely favourable to) the government, and most of them gave minimal coverage to the protests, so young people resorted to sharing information and anti-government memes on social media. The party is no stranger to social media (its “troll army” is adept at smearing digital opponents, and the government tried to shut down the Cockroach party’s X account in early July), but it has lost control of the narrative. Modi’s last-ditch attempt to engage protesters with two reels he posted to his then 101 million Instagram followers on Thursday night (after which he gained over 1 million more, an impressive number, though still fewer than Beyoncé’s 299 million) seemed contrived and stilted. “He has been crucified online for those videos,” Hannah says. *** Is this the start of something bigger? It’s tempting to compare the Cockroach protests to other youth uprisings that have led to regime change in south Asia. But “a quick look at the outcome of people’s movements in India is not encouraging,” the novelist Arundhati Roy wrote in a recent piece for Equator magazine. “Revenge is surely being planned and will be visited on those [the government] sees as the main instigators.” After people took to the streets in 2019 to protest against the BJP’s controversial new citizenship act, the government swiftly outlawed gatherings in several places and detained protesters. The real test of the BJP’s power will come at election time. It is one of the world’s richest and most formidable parties, and has attempted to capture India’s electoral machinery, pushing for reforms to its voting map that would tilt power further in Modi’s favour. In West Bengal, a state the BJP had never won before, it “revised” the electoral roll and excluded more than 9.1 million voters from the register, securing a decisive victory earlier this year. “It seems like the BJP has much less support than people actually think,” Bhatia says. But after these protests, Modi will be doing all that he can to maintain his party’s grip on power. The week to come Monday | Andrew and Tristan Tate are due back in the Florida court where they’re fighting their extradition to the UK, to face rape and sex-trafficking charges. Tuesday | Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy are expected to be among those attending the Washington DC memorial service for the late South Carolina senator and Trump ally Lindsey Graham. Thursday | People will go to the polls to elect the next mayor of Greater Manchester, who will replace Andy Burnham. What else we’ve been enjoying To enshittification, we can now add the idea of decadence without pleasure: “For anyone with an Internet connection and a little discretionary income, the contemporary moment offers a superabundance of seductive distractions. Why then the pervasive mood of emptiness?” Truly, what a time to be alive. Toby Moses, head of newsletters The world is approaching “plutocratic collapse”. That’s the view of the French economist Gabriel Zucman, and I’m inclined to agree. I enjoyed Will Dunn’s recent profile of him in the New Statesman (£). Hettie Add shingles to the long list of things millennial women need to worry about – Emily Retter has looked at why the excruciating disease is on the rise. Toby Sport Tour de France | Tadej Pogacar took a record-equalling fifth win in the Tour de France on Sunday, joining the all-time greats, as Mathieu van der Poel won a frantic final stage in Paris. Commonwealth Games | Adam Ramsay-Peaty is ready to bounce back after his 100m breaststroke bronze at the Commonwealth Games. He said: “The last 24 hours have been a bit of a whirlwind, but I’m really happy with that.” Formula One | Lando Norris won the Hungarian Grand Prix with an assured drive for McLaren at the Hungaroring, his and the team’s first victory of the year. The front pages “Miliband vows to give UK ‘global leadership’ role on climate crisis”, is the Guardian’s front page today. The Times says “Teen anxiety pays more than job”, and the Telegraph also has “PM to crack down on youth benefits”. Still on politics, The Mail goes with “Streeting: I will quit if defence plan falls short”, the i Paper says “Council tax and stamp duty to be scrapped under Burnham plans”, and the Express splashes “Police ‘waste’ millions on diversity schemes”. The FT splashes “Biggest defence companies home in on start-ups for nimbler military tech”, and the Mirror leads with its water safety campaign, saying “No child should die for a day at the seaside”. Lastly, Metro splashes “Fly and dry” on Gatwick’s water outage. Today in Focus How Palantir got into the NHS Investigative journalist, Lucas Amin, reports on how the tech company Palantir won a £330m contract with the NHS … and what happened once its software was introduced. Cartoon of the day | Tom Gauld The Upside A bit of good news to remind you that the world’s not all bad Restricting eating to a nine‑hour window and avoiding food for four hours before sleep may improve cognitive health in older adults. In a six‑month trial of 47 women who were considered overweight or obese, both groups lost similar weight, but those following time‑restricted eating performed better on spatial planning and problem‑solving tests, with hints of improved memory. Researchers suggest circadian rhythms, metabolism and inflammation may play a role. Experts stress the findings are preliminary and require larger, peer‑reviewed studies. Prof Wendy Hall, the head of nutritional sciences at King’s College London, said: “Time-restricted eating is a plausible approach to supporting cognitive health in midlife”. Sign up here for a weekly roundup of The Upside, sent to you every Sunday Bored at work? And finally, the Guardian’s puzzles are here to keep you entertained throughout the day. Until tomorrow. Quick crossword Cryptic crossword Wordiply

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What is a ‘fire cloud’, and how have they worsened wildfires in Europe?

As France and Spain battle some of the worst wildfires in recent history, experts have warned of an unprecedented phenomenon that could exacerbate the effects of the blazes: pyrocumulonimbus, or “fire clouds”. Wildfires often spread when hot, windy and dry conditions coalesce but severe wildfires can generate their own unique weather systems. One of the most striking examples of this are pyrocumulonimbus clouds, or fire-generated thunderstorms, which are the most severe form of fire clouds. Here is what you need to know about them. What is a ‘fire cloud’? In a nutshell, pyrocumulonimbus, or “pyroCb” clouds, are gigantic storm clouds that are generated by a wildfire. Massive wildfires emit large amounts of energy and heat that rapidly rise in a smoke plume. When the fire plume rises high enough, low atmospheric pressure causes its air to cool, and the moisture condenses and forms a cloud. Such clouds can generate lightning strikes and windy conditions. If a wildfire is sufficiently large and intense, the smoke plume it generates can form a pyrocumulonimbus cloud, which can reach altitudes of 10–15km (six to nine miles) and penetrate the stratosphere. Nasa calls them the “fire-breathing dragon of clouds”. “It’s a full thunderstorm forming within the fire plume,” says Rick McRae, an adjunct professor from the University of New South Wales’ (UNSW) bushfire research group. “These things, they get up to roughly 10,000 cubic kilometres of the atmosphere, so they have a big impact.” Why are these pyrocumulonimbus cloud formations so dangerous? When pyrocumulonimbus clouds form, they can create winds that make the wildfires below spread even faster, and sometimes generate their own lightning, which can in turn ignite more fires further afield. Experts say stronger wind gusts can create more unpredictable fire patterns and therefore make conditions more dangerous for firefighters battling the blazes on the ground. “The cloud is confirmation that the fire is very dangerous,” says UNSW’s McRae, who worked as a senior fire manager for 30 years. “The cloud is a confirmation that it’s appropriate that lots of people have been evacuated.” How common are fire clouds? Australia started experiencing pyrocumulonimbus clouds at the beginning of the century and experts say it appears they are becoming more common. They also formed during massive wildfires in California in 2022, but this could be a new situation for France. If confirmed, this would be the first time a pyroCb has been observed in France. “It’s the first time France has had to explicitly consider the concept of a pyroCb,” says McRae. “Whether or not they had one a few days back or not isn’t really the question,” he says, “the question is whether there’s one coming on Tuesday, Wednesday this week.” Why are these clouds occurring more frequently? The climate crisis is creating more dangerous conditions for wildfires globally, and also the conditions that lead to the formation of pyrocumulonimbus clouds. “It’s not just as simple as turning the temperature dial up. It’s full-on climate change,” says McRae. “It’s changes in the atmosphere, changes in the surface weather, changes in a lot of things.” Experts say climate models indicate these trends will increase in severity in the future. The wildfires in Europe have happened during peak tourist season in a region that has been hit by successive heatwaves, with woodland areas dried out from a lack of rain since May. Weather forecasters warn another heatwave could hit France from Tuesday, with temperatures reaching 40C in some areas. “There is going to be a blob of high heat that will move from Czechia over a four- or five-day period,” says McRae.

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Pedro Sánchez says Spain is suffering effects of climate crisis as firefighters battle wildfires in France

Authorities in France battled to contain a huge wildfire near Bordeaux as the forecast of another heatwave threatened to deepen the crisis and the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, warned Spain and the Iberian peninsula were suffering the effects of the climate emergency. Windy conditions on Saturday night hampered efforts to extinguish the blaze in the Gironde region of south-western France – which has consumed an area four times the size of Paris and caused nearly 220,000 people to be evacuated. In Spain, fires west of Madrid were being brought under control, but Sánchez spoke on Sunday of “difficult hours”. Weather forecasters say another heatwave could hit France from Tuesday, with temperatures reaching 40C in some areas. Wildfires have forced about 375,000 people to flee their homes in France and Spain. In France nearly 260,000 have been forced to flee, while in neighbouring Spain 116,000 have been evacuated this week. Bordeaux’s mayor, Thomas Cazenave, described the Gironde blaze as being “at the gates of the metropolitan area”, between 15 and 20 miles (25-30km) from the city itself, which has a population of 268,000. An evacuation of the city was not on the cards, he said. The fire situation in Gironde remained “broadly stable overnight” with no major developments, the local authority said on Monday. “Security and emergency services remain fully mobilised and are continuing their operations on the ground,” the statement said. Nearly 260,000 people have been evacuated across France as a whole, including 36,000 ordered to leave another wildfire zone in the Landes region farther south earlier this week. Sophie Brocas, the prefect of the Nouvelle-Aquitaine region, which includes the Gironde, said that the highly unpredictable nature of this wildfire was a phenomenon never seen before in France. “I urge tourists not to come to Gironde as long as the fire has not been contained,” she said. “I invite tourists who are already here to think about going to another destination. We don’t know where the fire is going to go.” France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, was was expected to hold a crisis cabinet meeting on Monday morning to discuss the emergency. France’s interior minister, Laurent Nuñez, said on Sunday the previous night had been difficult and “the situation remains very unfavourable”. He said the Gironde fire had become “extremely virulent and unpredictable again” on Saturday night, generating its own wind and spreading erratically towards the Bordeaux metropolitan area. It had become calmer by the end of the night, he said. Since Wednesday, the fire in Gironde has injured 84 firefighters, 10 of whom have been evacuated, according to the latest situation report published on Sunday by the prefecture. Sebastien Bouvier, federal secretary of France’s CFDT union, said firefighters did not have adequate equipment to protect themselves from the fires’ toxic fumes. About 2,500 firefighters (including a Swiss team), 1,500 military personnel and about 1,200 police had been deployed to Gironde, Nuñez said, as he praised the contribution of 450 volunteers from civil security organisations. He said another five Gironde municipalities had been evacuated overnight. One firefighter told Agence France-Presse that the fire had formed a pyrocumulonimbus, a fire-generated thunderstorm that “creates its own wind, with whirlwinds, becoming erratic and uncontrollable”. A spokesperson for the National Firefighters Federation of France said that while known in wildfire-prone Australia and Canada, one had never been seen before in France. The federation’s Lt Col Éric Brocardi told AFP there was a need to understand a “natural force beyond our control”. He said: “It’s a David v Goliath scenario: the idea is that, at some point, we’ll find a weak spot and strike there.” Police in Gironde made three arrests over the weekend, including one man smoking in the forest and two having barbecues in a forest area. Authorities in Spain said major areas of fire near Madrid had been contained and cooled down, according to a senior officer with Spain’s military emergencies unit. “We’re facing some difficult hours, although it’s true that the latest update has shown that last night was very positive in terms of the fire’s evolution and efforts to control it,” Pedro Sánchez said. Speaking at an advance firefighters’ command post west of Madrid, the prime minister warned that Spain and Portugal were experiencing the varied consequences of the climate emergency, from fires and storms to heavy snowfalls. “The entire Iberian peninsula is suffering the effects of the climate emergency in a very specific way,” he said. While the fire near Madrid was being brought under control, emergency workers battled to extinguish a new fire near the Mediterranean port city of València, where at least 15,000 people were evacuated. “The fire is beyond our capacity to extinguish, it has a perimeter of about 21km,” the València region’s president, Juanfran Pérez Llorca, said late on Saturday. Spain’s interior ministry said on Saturday evening that a man had died in a fire in the Valèncian town of Manises. He had been found in a car in a ravine, officials said. Sánchez was due to visit València on Monday. Authorities also ordered the evacuation of eight more municipalities near Toledo, south of Madrid, on Saturday, bringing the number of people forced to flee their homes by wildfires in Spain in recent days to 116,000, the Associated Press reported. Spain’s environment minister, Sara Aagesen, said the wildfire that had burned through 50,000 hectares of land in the central province of Ávila was “the largest forest fire in our country’s recent history”. The civil protection chief, Virginia Barcones, called the Ávila fire a “monster”. Spain’s interior minister, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, said on Sunday evening the fires were advancing but slowly. The blazes are the latest episode in a summer of wildfires that threaten to burn an unprecedented expanse of land. Europe has endured a series of heatwaves since the spring, fuelled by the climate crisis, including the hottest-ever June, leaving vegetation tinder dry. The EU commissioner for crisis management, Hadja Lahbib, told the BBC it was likely that damage from wildfires would exceed previous records. “Last year, one million hectares burned during the summer and so we are expecting to face another historic, sad record because the season has started earlier in the year,” she said. Spain’s environment ministry said 32 major fires affecting 152,678 hectares (377,276 acres) had been recorded so far in 2026, compared with seven affecting 24,133 hectares in the same period in 2025. The Gironde fire in France has so far burned 42,000 hectares, an area four times the size of Paris and one of the biggest devastations of land since the second world war. At least 240 homes had been destroyed and many more damaged, a gendarme told BFMTV. Firefighters are battling to slow the fire’s progression toward Bordeaux from the ground and air, with planes dropping water and retardants. Jérôme Steffe, the mayor of Cestas commune, 10 miles from Bordeaux city centre, told French media: “We are working together to put in place a firewall to block the advance of the flames.” An exhibition centre in Bordeaux has been turned into an emergency shelter, providing camp beds and food for thousands of people, including hundreds of older people evacuated from care homes. Cazenave said he had asked the central government for an economic crisis plan for the area because many businesses and workers had been evacuated from areas west of Bordeaux and the tourism industry had been heavily affected. He said it was impossible to say when people evacuated as a precaution could return to their homes. “We don’t know how long this crisis will last, whether several days or several weeks,” he said. The Landes fire has consumed 3,600 hectares and a rekindling of flames on Saturday had to be tackled from the air, Nuñez said. French authorities are also dealing with wildfires in the south-eastern Var region, where 3,000 people have been evacuated, as well as the Hautes-Alpes and Corsica.

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Ukraine war briefing: Air ceasefire talk ahead of Trump-Zelenskyy meeting

Ukrainian and US officials have discussed a proposal to offer Russia an air ceasefire, the Reuters news agency has reported, citing a Ukrainian source. Volodymyr Zelenskyy is due to meet Donald Trump, the US president, in Washington on Tuesday. The Kremlin spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, said on ⁠Sunday that Russia considered it premature to comment on any such ceasefire proposal. “We do not know how credible these reports are or where they come from. These are newspaper reports and nothing more. Therefore, it is premature to comment on them at this stage,” the Interfax news agency quoted Peskov as saying. “We have heard statements that some new formulas may be possible. We still need to learn more about them … What happens next will depend on how closely they correspond to our interests.” Romania said it was summoning Russia’s ambassador after the Nato member’s military shot down a third drone in as many days. A Romanian F-16 fighter jet shot down the drone over the Black Sea, five minutes after it entered the country’s airspace, said Romania’s defence minister, Radu Miruță. The foreign minister, Oana Țoiu, condemned “repeated violations”. The Romanian president, Nicușor Dan, said that according to an investigation, a drone shot down on Friday was a “Shahed model used by the Russian Federation in its war of aggression against Ukraine”. Investigations into drones shot down on Saturday and Sunday continued, he said. The Golden Leo, an international cargo vessel, sank off the coast of ⁠Ukraine’s Black Sea port of Odesa on Sunday, a week after Ukrainian ⁠officials said ⁠it had been struck by Russian forces. Nine ⁠crew members were killed in the attack while eight ‌were evacuated to safety. The ‌ship had left the ‌port of Chornomorsk with a cargo of corn when it was shelled by Russian forces on 19 July. Russia’s defence ministry ⁠said on Sunday that its forces had ⁠struck Ukrainian ⁠ports and shipping. Russia claimed the container terminal ‌at Chornomorsk, near ‌Odesa, handled “military cargoes”. Russia launched seven ballistic missiles and 136 drones at Ukraine overnight into Sunday, the Ukrainian air force said. In the northern Ukrainian city of Chernihiv, a Russian drone hit ⁠a supermarket, killing two people – including a nine-year-old child – and wounding 25, emergency services said. In the eastern city of Kharkiv, one person was killed and 16 others required medical attention ‌after a daytime drone attack, said the mayor, Ihor Terekhov. A glide bomb attack killed one person and wounded six in the southern city of Zaporizhzhia, said the regional governor, Ivan Fedorov. In Kyiv, a fire broke out on the seventh and eighth floors of a multi-storey apartment block in a central district after ‌a missile attack, said the mayor, Vitali Klitschko. Three people were wounded. In Sloviansk, Donetsk region, the national oil and gas company Naftogaz said two of its employees died in a Russian attack while trying to help residents affected by an earlier strike. Russia said ⁠areas of Ukraine under Moscow’s control had also come under attack, with four people killed in a Ukrainian drone strike in the Russian-occupied Ukrainian city of Horlivka. Twelve ⁠people, including two children, were ⁠injured ⁠in drone attack on ⁠the Russian city of Belgorod, close ⁠to Ukraine’s ‌border, regional authorities ‌said early on Monday. Ukraine denies targeting civilians. Volodymyr Zelenskyy will become Andy Burnham’s first overseas visitor as prime minister, in a visit that Burnham said underlined Britain’s “unwavering” backing for Ukraine, Peter Walker writes. Less than two weeks after Keir Starmer travelled to Kyiv for the final foreign visit of his prime ministership, Zelenskyy will on Monday join Burnham at a naval base where Ukrainian forces have been receiving training. According to statistics released by No 10, since Russia’s full invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, total UK support for the country has totalled £25bn, including £16bn in military assistance. Burnham and Zelenskyy are due to discuss joint projects including Stone Cloak, an electronic jammer for which the UK has shared the intellectual property, allowing Ukraine to use the system immediately to prevent Russia shooting down Ukrainian drones. Since being proven on the Ukrainian frontline, the jammers are due to be fitted to new UK weaponry, including cruise missiles.