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Iran crisis live: Trump says killers of protesters will ‘pay a big price’ and urges Iranians to ‘take over your institutions’

Donald Trump has said the United States would take “very strong action” if the Iranian government starts hanging protesters, but did not elaborate on what those actions would be. “I haven’t heard about the hanging. If they hang them, you’re going to see some things ... We will take very strong action if they do such a thing,” Trump told CBS News in Dearborn, Michigan. Trump said he was aware a “pretty substantial number” of people have been killed over the more than two weeks of demonstrations, and reiterated that “there’s a lot of help on the way” for Iranian citizens in “different forms” including economic assistance. He also mentioned the US airstrikes last year targeting three of Iran’s nuclear facilities to CBS News, though he didn’t give any further specifics. When asked what his end game is in Iran, the US president said: The end game is to win. I like winning. And asked what “winning” means, he reeled off a list of military operations from his first and second terms, adding: We don’t want to see what’s happening in Iran happen. And you know, if they want to have protests, that’s one thing, when they start killing thousands of people, and now you’re telling me about hanging — we’ll see how that works out for them. It’s not going to work out good.

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‘They want to break us’: Russian energy grid strikes give freezing Kyiv some of its darkest days

On the night of 9 January, amid warnings from Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, of massive and imminent Russian airstrikes, Tetiana Shkred began cooking for her children at midnight. Concerned that the power was once again about to be knocked out in her apartment block on Kyiv’s left bank – the side of the city that has been most affected by Moscow’s attacks on energy infrastructure – she cooked until 3am, when her flat was plunged into freezing darkness. In a shelter space between two walls, Tetiana and her two children, aged four and 11, sat out the missiles and drones. When the wave of attacks ended, like tens of thousands of others, they would have to deal with the aftermath in a prolonged cold snap. Daytime temperatures have dropped to –12C (10F) and as low as -19C at night. While the heat in her block has come back on, like many she must cope with the fact that, despite her having bought storage batteries, all her appliances, including her cooker and the water pump for her block, rely on electricity. “Everything in the apartment is electric. No electricity means no water and I can’t cook. And for the first 24 hours after the attack there was no heating. All of us were in our thermal underwear, ski clothes, and then more clothes on top of that, and then all sleeping in the same bed,” she said. “My son is 11 and he stayed calm, but my daughter is just four and she was cold even then.” While there have been heavier strikes on Kyiv in the almost four years of war since the full-scale Russian invasion, the impact of the 9 January raid on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure has rivalled the dark days of the early weeks of the war, when Russian tanks were trying to force their way into the capital. The intention is clear to all. Following a fresh wave of Russian attacks on Monday night, Ukrenergo, the country’s state-owned grid operator, said Moscow’s aim was to “disconnect the city”. “The Russians are trying to disconnect the city and force people to move outside [Kyiv],” Vitalii Zaichenko, the chief executive of Ukrenergo, told the Kyiv Independent, saying substations had been hit overnight and 70% of Kyiv was without electricity. Russia’s increased focus on attacking energy infrastructure has led to major blackouts in recent weeks in Odesa, Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia, compounded both by the cold and an increasing shortage of spare parts as repairs mount from the attacks. Even in areas of the capital with more reliable electricity supply, rolling blackouts are in evidence in darkened streets, in cafes and in supermarkets, where escalators and conveyor belts are turned off when the power goes out. Some supermarketsannounced plans on Tuesday for temporary closures. Elsewhere in the worst-hit neighbourhoods of Kyiv, where, days later, power has yet to come anywhere close to reliable, emergency services have erected warming tents in the snow, with pumped heating and a hot food station serving drinks and stew. Amid a cluster of tower blocks on Kharkivske Shoshe on Kyiv’s left bank, Alla Polischuk was in one of the tents with her teenage daughter Iryna, who had just finished online classes while her school is closed. “We just came in here to warm up,” said Polischuk. “We’ve had no electricity for three days in a row. In some places it comes on for a few minutes but then it goes again. “But the worst thing is the cold, even when we dress in all our clothes and under blankets. It doesn’t matter how much you dress, you can still feel it on your skin. We live in an old building so it gets cold very quickly.” Some in her building, she added, took the advice of the mayor of Kyiv, Vitali Klitschko, to leave the city and go to dachas or relatives in the country. “I’m afraid they are trying to freeze us,” she said. “They waited for this cold snap. They had a large raid on the energy infrastructure in November but the temperature was 8C. I’m worried now that they will strike again now it’s so cold.” Outside the Coffee and Friends cafe in another area of the left bank, Oleksandr Matienko, a building manager, was trying to help the owner fix a failed generator that had forced the cafe to shut down. Matienko’s building was well organised. In his office was a large inverter and a bank of 12 large batteries. But with no supply for five hours when the Guardian visited, a third of the batteries had been drained. “We are fortunate,” Matienko said, “but the building next door doesn’t have the same equipment and it is freezing cold in their apartments. I tell the residents here, please be mindful how you use your electricity because everyone wants to start charging and doing laundry when the power does come on and it strains the supply.” Across the road from his office is school 329. While online lessons are continuing it has been shut since the latest strikes, with temperatures inside the building hovering around 10C. Housing an air raid shelter for the local community, it has also been designated as a warming centre where residents can visit and borrow LED lighting among other emergency supplies. On the night of 9 January a Russian missile hit the apartment block 100 metres from where deputy director Valentina Verteletska lives, killing a mother and her daughter. “I think the Russians want to break us. There is nothing to be done so we need to survive these kinds of problems. They want to make Ukrainians angry and unhappy. They think this will make us go out on the streets and protest but that won’t happen,” she said. “And this makes us tougher and more determined. War doesn’t make people bad or good but it amplifies who you are are. It allows people to show who they are inside and we have seen a lot of volunteering to help their neighbours.” “You can see with your own eyes what is going on,” said Matienko. “They are trying to kill us. They can’t win any other way. So they are willing to do anything to destroy Ukraine.”

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Trump promises ‘help is on its way’ and tells Iranians to ‘keep protesting’

Donald Trump has told Iranians to keep protesting and said help was on the way, in the clearest sign yet that the US president may be preparing for military action against Tehran. “Iranian Patriots, keep protesting – take over your institutions!!! … help is on its way,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social on Tuesday, a day after the White House press secretary said airstrikes were among “many, many options” the US president was considering. Trump addedthat he had cancelled all meetings with Iranian officials until the “senseless killing” of protesters stopped. His remarks suggest Iran’s offer to reopen talks on its nuclear programme has been rejected by Trump in the face of increasingly credible reports that as many as 2,000 Iranians had been killed in the protests. Iranian officials had earlier admitted to 600 deaths. His call to keep protesting comes a day after demonstrations had apparently subsided owing to the severity of the crackdown. Trump is still conferring with officials about the action he could take. But his words imply he will not be content with further economic pressure. The current assessment of European diplomats is that the regime is very determined to cling on to power and has the internal unity and resolve to do so. They believe it would take a very sustained US bombing campaign for that alignment of forces to change. Trump’s new declaration of support may bolster the demonstrations but it remains unclear if a show of force by the US can compel the Iranian regime to back down. The death toll from the crackdown on the protests has risen into the thousands as images of Iranian morgues filled with the bodies of demonstrators have leaked onto the internet. In his online posts, Trump also called on Iranian protesters to “save the names of the killers and abusers” suggesting that the US could bring them to account and that they would “pay a big price”. Trump has also vowed to target foreign backers of the Iranian government and has announced a 25% tariff on any country still trading with Iran, a move that led China, Iran’s largest export partner, to threaten retaliation. The US president said the new tariffs would be “effective immediately”, without providing further details. In March last year, Trump proposed a similar measure of imposing tariffs on countries trading with Venezuela, but it was left to the US secretary of state, Marco Rubio, to complete the details and was never implemented. “Effective immediately, any Country doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran will pay a Tariff of 25% on any and all business being done with the United States of America,” Trump said in a Truth Social post on Monday. Tariffs are paid by US importers of goods from those countries. Liu Pengyu, the spokesperson for the Chinese embassy in Washington, said Beijing would “take all necessary measures to safeguard its legitimate rights and interests” after Trump threatened to ramp up his global trade war. Other major trading partners include Iraq, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey. A Russian foreign ministry spokesperson characterised US pressure on Iran by saying that “external forces hostile to Iran are trying to use the growing public tension to destabilise and destroy the Iranian state”. The UK and other European countries including France, Germany and Italy summoned their Iranian ambassadors on Tuesday as they condemned the crackdown, but seemed to be seeking way to avoid a US military intervention. The UK foreign secretary, Yvette Cooper, called on the Iranian ambassadors to “answer for the horrific reports” of violence from the country. The US senator Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally, said: “The tipping point of this long journey will be President Trump’s resolve. No boots on the ground, but unleashing holy hell – as he promised – on the regime that has trampled every red line. A massive wave of military, cyber and psychological attacks is the meat and bones of ‘help is on the way’.” More than 140 countries still trade with Iran, according to the World Bank, but sometimes only in small amounts. Trump’s threats of tariffs on Iranian trading partners coincided with Iran easing some restrictions on its people and, for the first time in days, allowing them to make calls abroad via their mobile phones on Tuesday. It did not ease restrictions on the internet or permit texting services to be restored. Reporting restrictions and the online shutdown make it difficult to determine the death toll. The Associated Press, however, reported that the news agency of Human Rights Activists in Iran, a group that has been accurate in its coverage of previous unrest, had given a toll of at least 2,000 people, of whom 135 were government-affiliated. The UK foreign secretary, Yvette Cooper, has announced sectoral sanctions on Iran covering finance, energy transport and software. She condemned the “horrendous and brutal killing” of peaceful protesters, saying Britain had summoned the Iranian ambassador to underline the gravity of the situation. She described the Iranian narrative that the killings were the responsibility of foreign interference as lies, adding that Britain would not do anything to play into the regime’s efforts to whip up opposition to the west. The demonstrations in Iran have evolved from complaints about dire economic hardships to defiant calls for the fall of the deeply entrenched clerical establishment. The authorities have responded with a harsh crackdown including mass arrests, internet blackouts and public warnings that participation in the demonstrations could carry the death penalty. Trump’s national security team is expected to hold a meeting at the White House on Tuesday to discuss options for Iran but it is unclear whether the president himself will be in attendance. Options include hitting Iran’s police headquarters with cruise missiles and more targeted assassinations. The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, told reporters this week that airstrikes were among the “many, many options” that Trump was considering but that “diplomacy is always the first option for the president”. There is no public sign yet that Iran sees its internal crisis as so existential that it needs to change its nuclear programme to meet US demands – and gain relief from already crippling sanctions. Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, has been at the forefront of ministers claiming the protests were hijacked by foreign terrorist groups. The German chancellor, Friedrich Merz, said on Tuesday: “I assume that we are now witnessing the final days and weeks of this regime. When a regime can only maintain power through violence, then it is effectively at its end. The population is now rising up against this regime.”

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Louisiana officials seek to extradite abortion provider from California

Louisiana law enforcement officials are seeking to extradite a California doctor who, officials say, sent abortion pills to a woman living in the southern state. The extradition order for the doctor, Remy Coeytaux, marks the latest salvo in the escalating battle between states that protect abortion rights and those that ban the procedure. While Louisiana is one of more than a dozen states that have banned almost all abortions, California and a handful of other blue states have enacted so-called “shield laws”, which aim to protect abortion providers from out-of-state extradition or prosecution. “We are going to continue to fight the illegal sending of abortion pills into Louisiana,” Liz Murrill, Louisiana’s Republican attorney general, said in a video posted to X. “It’s illegal drug trafficking and we will continue to prosecute those doctors and we will also continue to pursue actions against the states that are shielding those doctors.” Coeytaux has been charged with violating a Louisiana statute that bans “criminal abortion by means of abortion-inducing drugs”. If convicted, he could face fines and up to 50 years of “hard labor”. He did not immediately reply to a request for comment. The news that Louisiana wanted to arrest Coeytaux first surfaced in September, when the state filed a motion as part of Louisiana’s effort to join a federal lawsuit that seeks to limit access to the common abortion pill mifepristone. In that motion, Louisiana revealed that it had issued an arrest warrant for the doctor who supplied abortion pills to the boyfriend of a woman named Rosalie Markezich. Markezich alleged that her boyfriend obtained abortion pills by filling out an online form for Aid Access – an organization that mails abortion pills nationwide – and coerced her into taking pills in October 2023. In records released by Murrill’s office on Tuesday, law enforcement officials allege that Coeytaux mailed pills to a woman in Louisiana in October 2023 through Aid Access. However, in those documents, the woman does not indicate that she was coerced into taking the pills. A spokesperson for Murrill’s office declined to confirm whether Tuesday’s extradition request was connected to Markezich. “More indictments could be coming,” the spokesperson said in a text. The Alliance Defending Freedom, a Christian legal group that has represented Markezich in other legal matters, did not immediately reply to a request for comment. A spokesperson for Gavin Newsom, the Democratic governor of California, also did not immediately reply to a request for comment on Coeytaux’s case. With abortions still on the rise more than three years after the US supreme court overturned Roe v Wade, abortion opponents have intensified their efforts to penalize providers who operate using shield laws. In late 2024, Texas sued a New York-based doctor, Margaret Carpenter, for allegedly mailing abortion pills into the anti-abortion state. That litigation has so far faltered, however, thanks to New York’s shield law. Last year, Louisiana sought to extradite Carpenter from New York. But Kathy Hochul, New York’s Democratic governor, said she would not execute the extradition request “not now, not ever”.

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A long, dire history of US interference in Iran | Letters

How right your editorial is in saying that “Those who claim they want to help, while cynically seeking to exploit the legitimate grievances of Iranian citizens for their own ends, only risk more bloodshed and suffering” (The Guardian view on Iran’s protests: old tactics of repression face new pressures, 9 February). America’s bloody interference in Iran has a long history, which includes the overthrow of the democratically elected, secular Mossadegh government in 1953 in order to control Iranian oil; supporting the puppet shah’s repressive security apparatus against the Iranian people; arming the dictator Saddam Hussein in a war with Iran resulting in a million dead; and, more recently, arming Israel in its indiscriminate attacks that killed scores of Iranian civilians. Donald Trump’s current interest in stoking insurrection and threatening Iran is to distract Americans from the repression he is leading, through ICE, on the American people. Americans need to focus on challenging repression on the streets of Minneapolis, Chicago and Portland, rather than stoking insurrection in Tehran. The time for America to play-act being the world’s policeman as a front to whitewash its worldwide exploitation and hegemony is over. Raza Griffiths Chatham, Kent • Donald Trump says “Iran is looking at FREEDOM, perhaps like never before” (Iran warns US against attack as protest death toll reportedly soars, 11 January). Is there anybody out there old enough to judge how close Iran came to it in 1953, before the US and the UK aided the overthrow of an elected government, and whether anything has happened since to convince Iranians that they can trust either of those countries? Bryn Hughes Wrexham • As a survivor of two consecutive dictatorships in Iran, I urge the international media to accurately reflect the aspirations of the Iranian people. My family has paid the ultimate price for freedom: my father, Iraj Karim, died under brutal torture, and my mother, Fatemeh Kharazian, was destroyed by the current regime’s interrogators. The world must understand that the popular slogan “No to the Shah, no to the Sheikh” is a definitive rejection of all forms of tyranny. Millions of Iranians are not looking to restore the Pahlavi monarchy; instead, they seek a democratic republic. Social media campaigns attempting to revive the previous dictatorship do not represent the will of those on the ground. The democratic alternative presented by the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) and the 10-point plan drawn up by Maryam Rajavi – the Iranian dissident politician and leader of the People’s Mujahedin of Iran organisation – offers a viable path to a secular, non-nuclear and democratic Iran. This plan is a guarantee for human rights and global peace. Maged Karim Berlin, Germany • Have an opinion on anything you’ve read in the Guardian today? Please email us your letter and it will be considered for publication in our letters section.

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Gerry Gable obituary

Gerry Gable, who has died aged 88, was one of the most formidable and persistent figures in the postwar fight against fascism and the extreme right in the UK. He combined activism, investigative journalism and clandestine intelligence-gathering in a way that reshaped how anti-fascism was practised in Britain and far beyond. As the founder of Searchlight, the investigative anti-fascist magazine, he played a central role in exposing, disrupting and ultimately weakening generations of fascist and neo-Nazi organisations. Under Gerry’s stewardship, Searchlight became the most authoritative source of intelligence on the far right in the UK. It infiltrated extremist groups, exposed their funding, documented their international connections and repeatedly revealed the criminality and violence at their core. Searchlight first appeared as a short-lived tabloid newspaper in 1965, edited by the Labour MP Reg Freeson, with Gerry in charge of research, but folded after only four issues. Then, in 1975, in response to the dramatic rise in support for the National Front (NF), it was relaunched in magazine format, produced by Gerry and the Birmingham-based journalist and anti-racist campaigner Maurice Ludmer. When Maurice died in 1981, Gerry was left at the helm. I began volunteering with Searchlight in the 1970s and edited the magazine in the 80s. The magazine quickly became indispensable to local anti-fascist committees that had formed in response to the NF’s growth, and when the Anti-Nazi League (ANL) was founded in 1977, Gerry and Maurice were among its original sponsors, with Searchlight effectively its research wing. The intelligence it supplied – including photographs of NF leaders in Nazi uniform or on paramilitary exercises – helped the ANL brand the party a Nazi organisation and contributed significantly to the collapse of its electoral fortunes in the general election of 1979. Searchlight’s intelligence-led investigative model was adopted by anti-fascists across Europe and the US. In Scandinavia, the young Stieg Larsson, later to author the Millennium trilogy of Lisbeth Salander novels, was inspired by it to launch the Swedish anti-fascist magazine Expo and was Searchlight’s own Swedish correspondent for many years. In the early 2000s, HOPE Not Hate, then operating as Searchlight’s campaigning arm, played a prominent role in hugely successful grassroots campaigns in areas such as Barking and Dagenham, in London, and Oldham, Greater Manchester, where a burgeoning British National party, under the leadership of Nick Griffin, was threatening a major electoral breakthrough. These campaigns devastated the BNP’s prospects, and it never recovered. In 2011, however, differences about future approaches led to a split between Gerry and HOPE Not Hate. Gerry retained control of Searchlight, but it was a bitter parting of the ways and feelings ran high for a number of years. The hatchet was buried in 2023 when Gerry and Nick Lowles, the chief executive of HOPE Not Hate, publicly greeted each other and shook hands warmly at an anti-fascist event in London. Gerry said at the time: “We’ve got enough problems fighting the other lot at the moment, without fighting amongst ourselves.” Searchlight’s life as a printed magazine drew to a close last year, when it moved to an entirely online operation. Gerry was at first sceptical but came to see the potential for much greater reach, and more effective use of resources. For many years, Gerry was the target of allegations that he secretly worked for the security services. This arose from a memo he wrote in 1977 while working as a researcher on the investigative ITV show The London Programme. He was a novice at mainstream journalism and felt he had to impress. In the memo, which three years later was leaked by someone on the programme, he laid claim to high level secret service contacts in various agencies. In fact, he was, as he later explained ruefully to me, “just flamming it up for an editor … I wasn’t the first to do it, but I paid a heavier price than most”. The fact he had no such contacts was clear to me in 1981, when Searchlight obtained evidence of a planned neo-Nazi bomb attack on the Notting Hill carnival in London, and Gerry and I had to use a convoluted route through a friendly journalist to get the information to the security services. As well as his anti-fascist work, Gerry was a member of the Metropolitan police’s Hate Crime Independent Advisory Group and of the London board of Tell Mama, an organisation combating anti-Muslim hatred. In 2011 he was awarded an honorary doctorate from the University of Northampton, which since 2013 has housed the Searchlight archive. Gerry was born in London, the son of Walter Gable, a furniture maker, and his wife, Rebecca (nee Levy). His mother was of Jewish heritage and his father an Irish protestant who served in Bomber Command ground crews during the second world war. After school, Gerry worked in construction before training as an electrician. There, as a member of the Young Communist League and later the Communist party, he established a reputation as a highly effective trade union organiser on building sites across the capital. Gerry’s involvement in anti-fascist activism began in his mid-20s as a Communist party activist helping to organise opposition to groups such as the openly Hitlerite National Socialist Movement (NSM) led by Colin Jordan, and Oswald Mosley’s Union Movement, which was attempting a postwar comeback. It was in this period that he began working closely with the 62 Group, Jewish activists, military veterans and seasoned anti-fascists who were enraged by the re-emergence of nazism so soon after the Holocaust and organised against it. Though Gerry never formally joined the group, he collaborated with its intelligence officer, Harry Bidney, helping to run informants, disrupt fascist activities and gather information and intelligence. Gerry believed that fascism had to be confronted directly, but that intelligence was as important as counter-protests or street fights. Among the group’s most audacious operations were raids on the London headquarters of the NSM and the Union Movement, during which membership files, correspondence and photographs were seized. These included, from the NSM raid, the photographs used to devastating effect by the ANL in the late 70s. On another occasion, a truck was driven into the HQ of a fascist group in south London. In 1963, an ill-fated attempt to obtain confidential documents from the flat of the historian David Irving led to Gerry and two other 62 Group members being arrested and convicted. A sympathetic judge imposed only small fines, prompting Irving to storm out of the court. Gerry left a disapproving Communist party shortly afterwards. When a wave of antisemitic arson attacks was launched on London synagogues in 1965, the 62 Group played a crucial role in identifying the NSM members responsible, persuading one of them to surrender to the police and testify against the others. Perhaps the most daring aspect of Gerry’s work was his extensive use of moles inside far-right organisations. Over the years he recruited or worked with a remarkable cast of informants, including Mosley’s former bodyguard, Les Wooler, the reformed neo-Nazi Ray Hill – whose information helped prevent the planned bomb attack on the Notting Hill carnival in 1981 – and figures such as Matthew Collins, Tim Hepple and Darren Wells from the terror group Combat 18. Others infiltrated the NF and the BNP. One mole, known only as “Arthur”, helped identify the London nail bomber David Copeland in 1999. Gerry’s anti-fascism came at considerable personal cost. He was repeatedly threatened, vilified and sued. He survived a letter-bomb attack and a failed petrol bomb attack on his home by members of Combat 18. That he was targeted so relentlessly was a measure of his effectiveness. For more than half a century, the extreme right failed to entrench itself in Britain in the way it did elsewhere in Europe, and Gerry’s contribution to that outcome was profound. In the final printed edition of Searchlight, he wrote that he had seen its relaunch in 1975 as a short-term project. In fact, it survived 50 years of continuous publication and set him on the course that would occupy the rest of his life. Gerry is survived by his fourth wife, Sonia (nee Hochfelder), whom he married in 1984, and five children. His eldest son, Steven, predeceased him. • Gerald Clark Gable, anti-fascist campaigner and investigative journalist, born 27 January 1937; died 3 January 2026

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Why Trump’s options are limited when it comes to using force against Iran

Donald Trump may not be unafraid to use military force against Iran, according to the White House, but the reality is the US president has few to no options that could obviously help that country’s protest movement, never mind the fact that the history of US intervention in the region has hardly been a success. Emboldened by the seizure of the erstwhile Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, after an operation that took months of planning, Trump talked up military intervention against the Iranian regime with no military pre-positioning having taken place. In fact, there has been a drawdown in the last few months, reducing military options further. The US has had no aircraft carriers deployed in the Middle East since October, after two years of near continuous deployment following the Hamas attack on Israel, having moved out the USS Gerald R Ford to the Caribbean in the summer and the USS Nimitz to a port on the US west coast in the autumn. It means any air or missile strikes against regime targets, and perhaps at the Iranian leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, would probably have to come from or involve US and allied airbases in the Middle East. An alternative would be similar to June’s long range B-2 bombing mission against the underground Iranian nuclear site of Fordow, although that sort of attack against an urban site would appear to be dangerous overkill. The US would also have to ask permission to use bases in countries such as Qatar, Bahrain, Iraq, the UAE, Oman and Saudi Arabia (perhaps even the UK’s Akrotiri base in Cyprus) – and protect them and their host countries against retaliation. Even if such assets were not used by the US, Iranian leaders have threatened to strike US bases and ships if the country is attacked. Although Iran’s military capabilities were badly degraded in the 12-day summer war with Israel, and its air defence systems easily overwhelmed, Tehran has retained a limited missile capability. Key launch sites remain buried in the mountains, and it has been rebuilding. It is estimated that Iran has 2,000 heavy ballistic missiles, capable, if launched in numbers, of evading US and Israeli air defences. A more salient question is: what would the US bomb? It would be possible to identify military and civilian sites used by the Iranian regime, but both the protests and the increasingly bloody regime crackdown are taking place across the country. Targeting is not always accurate, sites can be misidentified and civilian casualties in urban locations would be an evident risk. And it is not obvious this would be effective on the ground. It would also not be difficult for the Iranian regime to try to use any US attacks as a rallying point for what is left of its support, given the long history of US meddling dating back to the 1953 CIA coup. And, however unpopular it may be with ordinary people protesting, the ruling regime does not appear to be brittle or weak, having already survived Israel’s sustained attack in June. “There is a clearly a cohesive government and military and security service in Iran,” said Roxane Farmanfarmaian, a senior associate at the Royal United Services Institute thinktank. “The government is showing it doesn’t have any red lines: it is going to secure its borders and streets, and the extraordinary number of body bags reveals its determination to do so.” The US could consider a direct attack on Khamenei. Trying to kill the Iranian leader would be easier militarily than a Maduro-style seizure operation, which would be considerably more complex than in Venezuela because Tehran lies hundreds of miles from the country’s borders. However, killing the leader of another country would be astonishingly escalatory, raise a host of legal concerns, and invite a sustained military response. Nor would it necessarily lead to regime change. During the 12-day war, Khamenei appears to have evaded Israeli detection: the country’s defence minister, Israel Katz, defence minister said afterwards that “if he had been in our sights, we would have taken him out”. The Iranian leader had also lined up three senior clerics on a shortlist to replace him if he was killed, in an effort to secure a rapid transition. Other experts, such as Farmanfarmaian, argue that the most likely outcome would be a takeover led by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. But either way, the Iranian regime remained intact after Israel killed as many as 30 military and security leaders in June. A handful of US demonstration strikes would be unlikely to change that, while US allies, Congress and Trump himself would almost certainly not want a lengthy campaign. Already, the president himself has ruled out “boots on the ground”. Against such an uncertain backdrop, it is not surprising alternatives have been canvassed. The most notable is a targeted cyber-attack, raising the question of what would be intended. After the seizure of Maduro, Trump claimed that the US had turned off the power in Caracas to help facilitate his capture, but this would only be useful in Iran in conjunction with a military operation. Ciaran Martin, a former head of the UK’s National Cyber Security Centre, argues that “it is hard to see what could work” and that “disrupting civilian or even government services” such as electricity would probably affect civilians more. A theoretical possibility would be for the US to try restore the internet, largely shut down since last Thursday, though Martin added it would be “hard to intervene via cyber” to do so. A simpler possibility would be to try and “flood the place with Starlink” – Elon Musk’s satellite internet service – by overcoming Iranian jamming, providing the service for free. But, Martin said, that was “not really a cyber-operation” and sharing more information about repression may not stop the killing in the streets. What can be achieved by US military intervention may not match up to Trump’s promise that “help is on its way”.

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Greenland’s PM says territory ‘chooses Denmark over the US’ ahead of talks with JD Vance – as it happened

… and on that note, it’s a wrap for today! Join us tomorrow for our coverage of the US summit on Greenland and other news across Europe. Here is your today’s summary: Greenland’s prime minister has said “we choose Denmark” at a joint press conference with Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen in a show of unity ahead of high-stakes talks at the White House about Donald Trump’s intention to take control of the Arctic territory (15:08, 15:13, 15:27). The US vice-president, JD Vance, will unexpectedly host a crunch meeting with the foreign ministers of Greenland and Denmark and the US secretary of state, in Washington on Wednesday, raising the profile of the meeting (11:50). Their comments came after a day of hectic diplomacy, with the foreign affairs committee of the Danish parliament convening a session to discuss the US interest in the territory (10:25), and ahead of further talks with Greenland and Faroe Islands (12:44). Greenland’s business and mineral resources ministers told UK lawmakers that the “offensive” and “bewildering” US rhetoric on Greenland caused “quite a bit of worry” among the local population, as she hoped for “more clarity” after talks in the US (17:32). And that’s all from me, Jakub Krupa, for today. If you have any tips, comments or suggestions, email me at jakub.krupa@theguardian.com. I am also on Bluesky at @jakubkrupa.bsky.social and on X at @jakubkrupa.