Iran protests appear to slow under weight of brutal crackdown
Iran’s nationwide protest movement appeared to have slowed on Thursday under the weight of a brutal crackdown by authorities that has left thousands dead and put tens of thousands in prison. In Tehran, Iranians reported relative calm on the streets as the sound of gunfire faded and fires were extinguished – a marked contrast from the weeks before when large crowds confronted security forces. The slowdown of protests came just two days after Donald Trump urged Iranians to “keep protesting – take over your institutions”, promising “help is on its way”. Intelligence assessments had indicated that the US was preparing to strike Iran, a move Trump had threatened if Iran’s government killed protesters. But on Wednesday night Trump appeared to walk back from the brink of a military intervention, telling reporters that Iranian authorities were halting executions. “We’ve been told that the killing in Iran is stopping – it’s stopped – it’s stopping. And there’s no plan for executions, or an execution, or execution – so I’ve been told that on good authority,” Trump said. At least 2,637 people have been killed in the protests, according to the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency. Among them was an Iranian Red Crescent staffer who the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies said was killed in northern Iran on Saturday. Five other Red Crescent staffers were wounded, prompting the organisation to call for the protection of humanitarian workers.
It is understood Trump reviewed the full range of options to strike Iran but was unconvinced that any single action would lead to decisive change. Trump has pulled off misleading feints with Iran in the past. In June, he suggested US officials were fully engaged in negotiations with their Iranian counterparts over its nuclear programme, when in reality he was preparing the strikes for the 12-day war last summer. Iranian authorities also toned down their rhetoric on Wednesday, after a week of threatening retaliatory strikes against the US, with the foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, urging the US to engage in negotiations. Araghchi added that the authorities had no plan to hang people, Iranian state media reported on Thursday.
Iranian state media claimed that 26-year-old Erfan Soltani, the first protester sentenced to death, would not be executed. Soltani had been scheduled to be put to death on Wednesday and had become a symbol for the repression of protesters in Iran around the world. Despite Trump’s comments that the killing would stop, Iranian authorities have continued to go after protesters. Iranian media trumpeted the arrest of protesters it labelled “terrorists”, while the internet shutdown entered its seventh day – surpassing communication blackouts during previous protest movements. Authorities were reportedly searching for Starlink satellite dishes, posting pictures of shipments of the devices they said they had seized, cracking down on one of the only ways to communicate with the outside world. Rights groups expressed concerns about forced confessions among arrested protesters, as state media showed the hardliner chief justice, Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei, personally questioning detainees. Ejei, who has been placed under sanctions by the US and EU, is accused by opposition groups of being involved in the 1988 mass execution of political prisoners.
Footage broadcast on Thursday showed Ejei interrogating women, one of whom stood accused of sending a message to the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Another woman, accused of dropping concrete blocks on security forces, said as Ejei interrogated her: “I don’t know what happened, why I did something so foolish.” From the very beginning, state media have broadcast footage of such confessions, as authorities attempt to cast the protests as a foreign-instigated movement to destabilise Iran. The Norway-based Iran Human Rights group said: “Confessions that were obtained under coercion and torture being aired prior to legal proceedings violate the right of defendants to be presumed innocent until proven guilty.” Protests started on 28 December after a sudden slide in the value of the country’s currency, and quickly expanded to demands for political reform and even an end to the Iranian regime. The protest movement spread to all 31 provinces. It is the most serious bout of unrest the government has faced in decades. Iran’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, said on Thursday that the government was trying to ameliorate living conditions in the country and address the issues that sparked the protests. He vowed to target corruption and price gouging, which he expected would improve Iranians’ purchasing power.
Iran’s national currency has lost two-thirds of its value over the past three years while the price of basic goods has soared, with food prices increasing by 72% since last year. Analysts have said that while the protests point to underlying systemic issues in Iran that will be problematic for the Iranian regime in the long term, state collapse is unlikely. The concern was echoed by Israeli and Arab officials, who told the US administration in recent days that the Iranian regime was not yet weak enough for American strikes to topple it, NBC reported on Tuesday. Trump was lobbied hard by leaders in the Middle East not to go ahead with strikes that would have been certain to lead to an Iranian counterstrikes on US bases across the region. On social media, some Iranians expressed disappointment with Trump’s seeming about-face on military intervention. An AI photo of Trump pulling off a mask to reveal the former US president Barack Obama, whom Iran’s diaspora depicted as soft on Iran, was widely shared. Early on Thursday, the UN security council scheduled an emergency meeting to discuss the protests at the request of the US. Foreign ministers from the G7 said they were “prepared to impose additional restrictive measures” on Iran over its handling of the protests and the “deliberate use of violence, the killing of protesters, arbitrary detention and intimidation tactics”.