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Friday briefing: How a ​grassroots ​film ​is ​turning ​climate anxiety ​into ​action

Good morning. Here we are, stumbling into an oddly warm autumn and with the aftermath of a ceaselessly dry summer all around us in our parched parks and fire-ravaged forests. With the change in season, the headlines are no less gruelling. At the start of the week, more than 450,000 people are predicted to die from an unprecedented El Niño over the next six months. At the end of the week, a report by UK intelligence chiefs reveals the extent to which the collapse of natural systems threatens security and defence around the world – a report which, as the Guardian revealed, was suppressed under former prime minister Keir Starmer’s leadership. Meanwhile, as Hettie has written about in a previous newsletter, right-leaning climate sceptics continue to seed doubt about the glaring reality wherever they may. Overload, silencing and misinformation can generate fear, suspicion, grief, helplessness, a compulsion to look away or to focus on paying the next bill. But this summer, I’ve been hearing about another climate briefing – in film form – that aims to engage all of those emotions. It’s as much about giving people the information they deserve as it is about helping them deal with it once they have it. You won’t see it on Netflix, but your neighbour might be screening it at the local scout hall this weekend: for today’s newsletter, I spoke to Nick Oldridge, co-founder of the People’s Emergency Briefing, about how a film about the end of the world became a grassroots movement. First, the headlines. Five big stories UN general assembly | Benjamin Netanyahu delivered an inflammatory address to the United Nations, decrying what he said was a global anti-Jewish conspiracy and swatting aside criticism of Israel’s war in Gaza. UK news | Far-right agitator and anti-migrant activist Daniel Thomas has been arrested after he filmed himself appearing to slash the side of a dinghy while a rescuer was onboard. Iran | Iran says it has told Trump it is willing to open the strait of Hormuz in six days, and to start talks on its nuclear program the day after, so long as the US lifts sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, ends the war on all fronts – including in Lebanon – and releases some frozen assets. Ukraine | Ukrainian refugees fear they could be left homeless after the government quietly axed 70% of funding for hosts of the Homes for Ukraine scheme, reducing monthly “thank you” payments. World news | Xi Jinping has called for extensive cooperation with Washington to avoid the “Thucydides trap” that could put the US and China on a military collision course amid rising tensions over AI, trade and Taiwan. In depth: ‘It’s clear evidence that this model works for engaging politicians’ Have you seen that climate film yet? You know, the one you read about on the Guardian website and then a friend of a friend emailed you about it, but other things got in the way until your best pal watched it and said you absolutely had to see it and then you looked it up and realised there were screenings happening all around you. That was my experience, at least. The People’s Emergency Briefing began life, in real life. Last November, nine climate experts delivered a “first-of-its-kind national emergency briefing” to an audience of MPs, civic and business leaders in Westminster. It was, by all reports, a galvanising event. The organising team – including pioneer in carbon footprinting Prof Mike Berners-Lee and TV environmentalist Chris Packham – then crowdfunded to turn the in-person briefing into a film, which anyone can register to screen in their local village hall, faith centre, workplace or wherever else they can get bums on seats. I watched the briefing myself at an arts centre in Paisley on a sunny Friday evening last month. The 50-minute film felt like 15, as the roster of experts set out in plain language how global heating is affecting all aspects of life in the UK: the economy, food, healthcare, nature, national security. It’s a hard watch. The alarming – but never alarmist – message is that the climate is changing much faster than expected, and that we are woefully unprepared for it. The grinding frustration of these experts – who have been repeating these stark facts to a sclerotic government and a sceptical public for years – is evident, but there is also hope. The aim is to demand that the prime minister convenes a Covid-style primetime emergency briefing on the climate and nature crisis, led by independent experts. As Packham says as he introduces the film: “I understand it’s human nature to prefer not to know, to try to bury our heads in the sand. But if we all take a breath and watch this together, well first of all that’s a huge relief and second we can figure out what to do about it.” *** Do it like Gogglebox What’s unique about the film is both how it’s framed and how it’s watched. “We knew you can’t just film people talking at podiums,” Oldridge explains, “so we decided: ‘We’ll do it like Gogglebox’.” Spliced between the expert commentary, members of the public sit on a sofa across from Packham and talk about what they’ve just watched. “This is the nub of it,” says Oldridge. “This film has got to be watched in groups, people who experience it together and then talk about it, instead of the isolated way we usually consume media.” Since the first community screening on 7 April, the film has become a word-of-mouth phenomenon – so far 2,789 screenings have taken place, with a further 1,395 planned. Readers across the country, from the south of England to north-east Scotland, have contacted the Guardian’s Environment desk to tell us about their involvement. Anna Taylor, trustee of Wendover Climate Action, who organised a packed screening in the Buckinghamshire village after reading about the original Westminster event in the Guardian, told me: “It’s spurred me on so that, if nothing else, my kids will know I tried to make things better for them”. Any group can register to host a screening, and will receive a carefully scripted guide for steering the discussion afterwards as viewers process some difficult material. Organisers have told me how essential it felt for people to sit together and share their immediate reflections on what was a shocking film for many, even those who considered themselves familiar with climate science. That was my experience: the lump in my throat got smaller as I listened to other people talking about their visceral shock, anxiety and plans to take action. Groups are also encouraged to invite local politicians – not to put them on stage to shout at but so they can sit among the audience as another community member. (Eleven were invited to the Paisley screening, none came – you know who you are!). *** Will it burst through the eco-bubble? One of the threads we unravelled in the discussion after my screening was how to normalise climate conversations: “How do we reach people who don’t even believe climate change is happening?” asked one woman. (It’s worth interjecting here that tracker polling suggests this summer’s extreme weather has prompted a big jump in voters’ ranking of the environment as an issue.) But it’s a question that the People’s Emergency Briefing team have wrangled with extensively. Inevitably there’s an element of self-selection with community screenings, but there’s ongoing work to bring the film to wider audiences at Quaker meeting houses, churches and cathedrals, the Women’s Institute, hospitals, school staff rooms, the national lottery, the V&A, Channel 4, and even here at the Guardian. All the organisers I heard from had plans to run more screenings and diversify audiences, while viewers reported feeling more hopeful, better informed and more motivated to act. “We first realised something was happening when we watched the booming community screenings,” says Oldridge. “But now all these big brands are doing it too. You’re always trying to break beyond the eco-bubble and I think we’ve got a very good chance of doing that now”. *** What difference can it make? In recent years, the orthodoxy around climate communications has tended towards telling only hopeful stories, with a recognition that the public were beyond capacity for bad news. “But we felt quite strongly that we need to reset the baseline of understanding,” says Oldridge. “Most surveys show people are worried, but they see it as a far away problem. And they don’t have all the facts that relate to the UK and their own lives.” This is especially salient when the right weaponise net zero as a threat to the economy. Mindful of this context, the film is trenchant in its optimism. It avoids finger-wagging; there’s no scolding of those of us who still fly or eat cheese. There’s a recognition that – however helpful individual effort can be – climate change isn’t a problem that isolated action can solve. Rather, it calls for an emergency response equal to that rolled out during the pandemic, or a war. “Our effort is focused purely on change driven by government, helping the public understand that they are one of the pieces of the jigsaw that enable the government to be bold enough to make those changes,” says Oldridge. A major academic study of the film’s impact will be published next month and early findings suggest that every screening in a constituency makes its MP more likely to back a televised emergency briefing. “It’s clear evidence that this model works for engaging politicians.” There is engagement too at the top of government, according to our environment editor Fiona Harvey. She reported this week how Ed Miliband brought the national security warnings to global attention at the UN general assembly in New York, with the backing of Andy Burnham. It marks a growing openness from the prime minister towards climate action, she believes, encouraged by Miliband and that goes beyond campaigning pragmatism ahead of the Holborn and St Pancras byelection, where Labour is taking on Green leader Zack Polanski. Perhaps there is room for guarded optimism, as there is in this devastating film about the systemic collapse of society that is paradoxically hopeful. As one member of the public says on screen: “It’s not as if we need to go off and invent all the solutions. They’re right there. We just need to use them”. What else we’ve been enjoying Our politics and graphics desks teamed up on this exclusive report into how, as it stands, tactical voting could push Reform into fourth and leave Labour clinging to a thin majority at the next election. (And here’s a bonus read on the five progressive groups they will need to satisfy to even have a chance). Charlie Lindlar, newsletters team This gallery of shots from French photographer Martine Barrat, of people in Harlem and the Bronx in the 70s and 80s, is beyond beautiful. Barrat had a deep love for these neighbourhoods, and their communities, and it radiates from every tender photograph. Lucinda Everett, newsletters team Fascinating piece for this week’s Moving the Goalposts newsletter by Elizabeth Payne on whether the time has come for separated home and away seating at women’s football. Charlie Before you write off this year’s Oscars battle as a one-(Trojan)-horse race, have a read of Benjamin Lee’s excellent run down of the contenders who might stop The Odyssey sweeping the boards. Lucinda For the Filter, Bay Garnett has an authoritative guide to secondhand shopping in 2026 – “Wear and tear isn’t necessarily a reason to put something back,” she rightly urges. Charlie Sport Football | Joao Felix scored the only goal as reigning Nations League champions Portugal opened their campaign with a 1-0 home win over Wales; and a stoppage-time equaliser rescued a 1-1 draw for the Netherlands against Germany. Cricket | Sri Lanka pulled off a dramatic 16-run win over England in the second one-day international at Headingley ⁠to level the three-match ⁠series despite a heroic effort from injured Jos Buttler. Rugby union | Harlequins, Northampton and Gloucester are attracting serious interest from overseas investors with Prem Rugby entering an expansionist phase before its first season as a closed league begins on Friday. Something for the weekend Our critics’ roundup of the best things to watch, read, play and listen to right now TV The Great British Bake Off (Channel 4) | ★★★★★ The culinary competition’s newest judge, Nigella Lawson, is a soothing presence, bringing a streak of romance that perfectly complements Paul Hollywood’s ever-practical approach. Read Lucy Mangan’s full review. Music Gilla Band: Pugnello | ★★★★★ Your favourite band’s favourite band unleash a thrilling and relentless 42 minutes of monstrous noise whose precise instrumental source always remains discomfitingly unclear. Read Alexis Petridis’s full review. Film Remake (in cinemas now) | ★★★★★ Sherman’s March director Ross McElwee revisits footage of his late son for this magnificently affecting film and meditation on making art. Read Leslie Felperin’s full review. Art Amar Kanwar (Serpentine North) | ★★★★☆ Having made lyrical films for over 40 years, about everything from the end of empire to sexual brutality, the unflinching Indian artist’s new exhibition continues his focus on the parts of gruesome stories that are often missed. Read Ben Eastham’s full review. The front pages The Guardian splashes on “Two-year delay in assessments of autism due to pressures on NHS”. The FT leads with “Xi urges rivals to ‘coexist in peace’ as Trump hosts White House visit” and the Independent has “Trump and Xi clash over AI at tense state visit”. Top story at the Times is “Met chief: Stop putting offenders before victims”, the Daily Mail has “Labour’s army of migrants” and The i Paper leads on “NHS corridor care killing 550 people every week”. The Telegraph reports “Fiennes kept in care home illegally”, the Sun goes with “Fergie’s squeaky bum time for royals” and the Mirror has “I was sexually assaulted by celeb at home” – in relation to the former England striker Andy Carroll. The Latest Rogue AI hacks government system for first time A government database has been hacked for the first time by a rogue OpenAI agent, which infiltrated part of the Australian healthcare scheme in June. OpenAI became aware of the hack in August, but only informed the government in September. Australia’s prime minister, Anthony Albanese, has expressed his “extreme concern” about the hack, which raises serious AI security concerns for governments around the world. Lucy Hough speaks to the Guardian’s UK technology editor Robert Booth. Cartoon of the day | Ben Jennings The Upside A bit of good news to remind you that the world’s not all bad It’s officially autumn, but you will have noticed that it’s also sometimes summer and sometimes winter. That can make it hard to figure out what to eat every day, but have no fear: for this week’s Feast newsletter, Honey and Co’s Itamar Srulovich and Sarit Packer scribbled down some ideas. From rice salads to red pepper orecchiette and roasted squash, dig in and find something comforting, no matter the weather. And for yet more inspiration, sign up here to get our free weekly food newsletter every Thursday. Sign up here for a weekly roundup of The Upside, sent to you every Sunday Bored at work? And finally, the Guardian’s puzzles are here to keep you entertained throughout the day. Until Monday. Quick crossword Cryptic crossword Wordiply

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Lula says Trump wants to ‘colonise’ and capture Brazil’s resources by meddling in election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s presidential campaign has accused Donald Trump of wanting to “colonise” Brazil in order to capture its natural resources by meddling in next month’s presidential election. The accusation came in a televised campaign advert that was broadcast on Thursday by Lula’s team amid growing fears over the impact alleged US interference could have on the vote. The TV spot claimed the US president was trying to sway the election in favour of Lula’s far-right adversary in the election, Flávio Bolsonaro, in order to advance Trump’s interests in the South American nation. “Flávio Bolsonaro is Trump’s candidate and what Trump wants is to colonise Brazil, take our riches, steal our future and leave us in the dust,” the female narrator tells viewers in the minute-long video. The state department has denied claims the US is meddling in Brazil’s election. “Any insinuation of a ‘ploy’ to undermine a democratic nation’s election is a baseless lie,” it said last month in a statement. Writing on X, Lula accused Bolsonaro of wanting to “hand our natural resources over to the United States”. “If it’s up to him, Brazil will become a colony again,” the incumbent leftwing president added. With just over a week to go until the 4 October first round vote, Lula and Bolsonaro are neck and neck in the polls. A second round run-off will be held on 25 October if no candidate secures more than half of the votes. In recent weeks, there has been growing alarm – both in Brazil and overseas – about Washington’s apparent attempts to influence the result, with a campaign of diplomatic and economic pressure, including 25% tariffs on Brazilian imports. Speaking at the UN general assembly in New York this week, Lula indirectly criticised the US’ perceived meddling, telling delegates: “We will not allow the enemies of democracy – internal or external – to attack the will of the people. Brazilian democracy belongs to the Brazilians.” Earlier this week, dozens of Democratic party congresspeople wrote to secretary of state, Marco Rubio, to denounce the Trump administration’s “apparent effort to interfere with, and potentially undermine” Brazil’s elections through what they called a “sustained, multifaceted campaign of interference and destabilisation in Brazil”. The narrator of Lula’s campaign ad cited a series of recent media stories relating to alleged acts of US meddling. They include reports about the alleged interference of Big Tech companies as well as a confidential document sent to electoral authorities by Brazil’s intelligence agency warning of a “critical level” of risk of US interference. The campaign video also highlighted recent claims about links between Bolsonaro’s campaign and the conservative donor network Rockbridge, which was co-founded by Trump’s vice-president JD Vance. Éden Valadares, the communications secretary for Lula’s Worker’s party (PT), said the campaign ad was part of efforts to “alert the Brazilian people” to the ideologically-driven US campaign. “We don’t believe it will work but nor will we sit back and do nothing,” Valadares said. “President Lula has instructed us … to mobilise Brazilian society … [and] to react in the streets,” added Valadares, who said a nationwide series of events were being planned for this Sunday. Fears over US meddling are not confined to the Brazilian left. This week, another of the right-wing candidates in Brazil’s election, Renan Santos, also denounced Trump’s behaviour and said he did not want Brazil to become a US vassal state. “They want to interfere in Brazil’s elections to secure satisfactory contracts involving rare earths,” Santos claimed in a social media video. Recalling the US invasion of Venezuela in January, Santos added: “I don’t want to see Latin America become an American protectorate.” In the letter sent to Rubio on Friday, the Democratic lawmakers wrote that “rather than helping defend Brazilian democracy”, the US was “acting as an agent of interference and destabilisation – using diplomatic, economic and political pressure in ways that risk weakening the country’s democratic institutions, undermining confidence in Brazil’s electoral process, and inflicting further damage on our relationship with a strategic US ally and trading partner”. They asked Rubio if Trump’s administration would commit to respecting Brazil’s electoral process and requested a response by 1 October. The state department has not yet responded to a request for comment.

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Iran awaiting response from Trump on proposal to open strait of Hormuz in six days

Iran said it has told Donald Trump it is willing to open the strait of Hormuz in six days, and to start talks on its nuclear program the day after, so long as the US lifts sanctions on Iran’s oil exports in return, ends the war on all fronts – including in Lebanon – and releases some of Iran’s frozen assets. The proposal is designed to accelerate the steps first laid down in the memorandum of understanding signed by the US and Iran in June, particularly by helping the talks on Iran’s nuclear program start much more quickly than previously agreed. Iran says a deal on the temporary route through the strait of Hormuz has been agreed with Oman, describing it as a done deal, and is ready to register the details with the International Maritime Organisation. Abbas Araghchi, the Iranian foreign minister, said he was waiting to hear a response from the Americans to the proposal. He added that he had consulted on the plan with China, which fully supported the proposal. Saudi Arabia had been expected to endorse the Oman-Iran route through the strait last week, but pulled back partly due to anger that Iranian-backed Houthis had started attacking Saudi Arabia as part of their dispute over the future of Yemen. Iran claims it has urged the Houthis to cease the attacks on Saudi Arabia but that it does not have control over Houthi decision-making. Araghchi, speaking to reporters in New York, said: “We have introduced a plan to the US through the mediators that if certain conditions are met, the strait will be open within seven days and talks will start.” He said the Iranian preconditions were not new, and were contained in the Islamabad memorandum of understanding that was signed by Trump. The advantage of the proposal, apart from opening the strait and lifting the chokehold on the world economy, would be bringing the US to the talks on Iran’s nuclear program much more quickly. Talks on the nuclear program under the MoU would not have started for 60 days. Araghchi said he was staying in New York over the weekend to await an American response, but added he was not in a hurry. Privately, Iranian officials believe they could reach a deal with the Americans, and the Saudi hurdle over aspects of the route could be overcome, but fear Israel will use its influence to pull the US president away from the proposal. Araghchi added he would like the deal to go through before the midterm elections, by which he meant that the strait of Hormuz could be opened and energy prices thereby reduced, something Trump badly needs for the Republican party to survive a political mauling. For the US, there are difficulties in the plan related to forcing Israel to end the war in Lebanon. Israel may object to giving Iran such clear control over the route through which ships would travel through the strait of Hormuz. Iran also wants to retain control of shipping to prevent some US military shipping going through the strait. Issues such as whether tolls or navigational fees could be imposed by the littoral states Oman and Iran would be settled later in the process. Earlier in the day, the UK foreign secretary, Ed Miliband, met Araghchi, his Iranian counterpart, for the first time in New York. It was also the first meeting between UK and Iranian ministers for a year, and the first exchange since the UK in July proscribed the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation, a move that has worsened the already sour relations between the two countries. Miliband made clear that the UK was committed to freedom of navigation in the strait and wanted a diplomatic solution, also stressing support for Saudi Arabia, a UK ally in Yemen. He warned Iran about its behaviour in the UK, including threats to Jewish communities, and called for the UK to be given consular access to the British couple sentenced to 10 years’ imprisonment in Tehran. Araghchi and the US’s special envoy Steve Witkoff also met earlier this week on the sidelines of the general assembly to discuss Iran’s terms for reopening the strait and the speed at which that may happen, as well as the time the US had been given to respond. A faction inside Iran is arguing that Tehran should seek to escalate the conflict with a vulnerable US president, rather than let the crisis drift in its current deadlock. Brent crude was trading at about $107 (£81) a barrel on Thursday. Some IRGC officers have also linked the strait of Hormuz issue to the closure of the Bab al-Mandab strait, the narrow waterway close to the south-west of Yemen now under control of Iranian-backed Houthis. Maj Gen Rahim Safavi, a senior Iranian military figure, said: “If the Americans start a new war, a new front centred on the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab strait may open before their eyes. Are they ready to enter the battle on this front? This is a question that they should pay more attention to.” Domestically, Pezeshkian’s defiant message to the UN general assembly on Wednesday was deemed a success overall in that it balanced a refusal to bend the knee to “the US bully” with a willingness to seek diplomatic talks. He also proposed a new security architecture for the future in partnership with Gulf states, including those it has been bombarding in an effort to dislodge the US from its military bases. Maj Gen Ahmad Vahidi, commander-in-chief of the IRGC, praised Pezeshkian’s speech, saying: “We are not afraid of war. It is the loud and firm call of the Iranian nation – a call that resonated from the United Nations podium, through the words of the esteemed president, and reached the ears of the world.”

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Netanyahu calls Israel’s war in Gaza ‘opposite of genocide’ in UN speech

Benjamin Netanyahu delivered an inflammatory address to the United Nations on Thursday, decrying what he said was a global anti-Jewish conspiracy and swatting aside criticism of Israel’s war in Gaza, as he faces down international isolation and a fight for political survival in upcoming elections in Israel. As planned protests erupted on the streets of New York City, Netanyahu took aim at critics of the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, the international media, regional leaders such as Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the leftwing commentator Hasan Piker and the New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani in an address that doubled as a stump speech to ignite his rightwing base for the elections. Invoking his late brother Yonatan Netanyahu, a commando killed in a 1976 raid to free Israeli hostages from a hijacked airliner in Entebbe, Uganda, he repeated the lines: “We are going to win. We have no other choice.” Dozens of delegates, inspired by a Palestinian call, walked out of the General Assembly Hall of the UN headquarters as Netanyahu took the stage, leading a speaker to pound his gavel and announce: “I’m calling for order in the hall.” Palestinian representatives organising diplomatic missions to bring staff for a planned walkout of Netanyahu’s speech said they wanted to “send a clear message to Netanyahu and his government that no one is willing to aid, abet, or be complicit in its genocide and war crimes and illegal occupation, which all peace-loving states and peoples demand must come to an end”. “If there are any other moral cowards in the audience, I urge them to walk out,” Netanyahu said before launching into his prepared remarks. The speech revealed little new in terms of Israeli policy over the war in Gaza, militant settler violence in the West Bank, or Israel’s plans to end other regional conflicts including its joint war with the United States against Iran. But he argued that the world faced an existential threat from Iran, suggesting that several missiles from Tehran could have destroyed the UN, and cited quiet support from world leaders for Israel’s actions that could not be aired in public. “Devastating Iran’s nuclear facilities was … very hard to do,” he said of launching joint US-Israeli strikes in February. “But for me, it was one of the easiest decisions I’ve ever had to make as prime minister. Because if we hadn’t done it, we’d all be dead.” He branded Turkey’s Erdoğan as a “tyrant” who “hosts Hamas terrorists”, decried Mamdani as the “antisemitic mayor of New York”, and declared that Israel’s war in Gaza is not genocide – “it’s the opposite of genocide”. “So, to all those spreading these lies about my country and about our brave soldiers, whether they sit in this hall or in the office of the antisemitic mayor of New York, I say this: shame on you!” he said. Netanyahu delivered the controversial address to the United Nations on Thursday just hours after Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas said his delegation was “unlawfully” denied visas by the Trump administration to attend the meeting of world leaders. In a video address from Ramallah, broadcast in the General Assembly Hall, Abbas condemned Israel’s policies in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem as a “malicious colonial plan” to establish a “‘Greater Israel’ and erase the Palestinian presence”. Citing the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and the violent expansion of settlements in the West Bank, Abbas said that the Israeli government “now threatens the very life and existence of the Palestinian people in their homeland”. “Do not allow another Nakba and further massacres like those of 1948 to continue taking place,” he added, referring to the expulsion of Palestinians upon the founding of Israel. For the second year in a row, the US state department denied visas to Abbas and the Palestinian Authority delegation, arguing that they had failed to live up to their commitments to seek peace with Israel. “As a consequence of their failure to reform, contrary to their commitments to the United States, and their ongoing activities that undermine the prospects for peace, the United States will extend sanctions that deny visas to PLO members and PA officials,” the state department said last week in a statement. In his speech, Abbas said his delegation “[rejects] these unlawful punitive measures, as well as the accusations and justifications on which they were based”. He said: “Preventing the Palestinian delegation from reaching United Nations headquarters is inconsistent with the obligations of the United States as the host country.” As he spoke, protests were forming on the streets of New York near the United Nations headquarters in advance of Netanyahu’s arrival. Hundreds of demonstrators crowded into the street on Manhattan’s east side in midtown and held signs that said “End the Genocide” and wore shirts reading “Fund people not bombs”. By the end of Netanyahu’s speech, more than 100 demonstrators, including several local elected officials, had been arrested by New York City police. Earlier this summer, the mayor, Zohran Mamdani, had said that Netanyahu was “not welcome” in New York, and said he was reviewing whether Netanyahu could be arrested by city police under an international criminal court warrant for his arrest. He has since tempered that stance, saying this week that he wouldn’t attend the protests but promising to protect their “right to [protest] in this city”. Netanyahu is not expected to meet Donald Trump, who is in Washington to host the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, nor with other senior US officials, as he faces growing international condemnation over his hardline stance. Netanyahu has said that he needs to return to Israel quickly because of the election campaign and the holiday of Sukkot, which begins on Friday.

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Democratic lawmakers accuse Trump administration of interference in Brazilian elections

A group of 31 Democratic members of the US Congress has sent a letter to the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, criticising the Trump administration over “an apparent effort to interfere with, and potentially undermine” Brazil’s elections. Latin America’s largest country will hold the first round of its presidential election on 4 October, with polls showing a technical tie between the incumbent leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and the far-right senator Flávio Bolsonaro. In the letter sent to Rubio on Thursday, 30 members of the House of Representatives and the senator Bernie Sanders listed a series of measures the US government took that they interpret as attempts to secure a victory for Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. They wrote that those actions “reflect a broader and deeply troubling pattern of interference by the Trump administration in recent electoral processes across Latin America”, citing the recent midterm elections in Argentina and presidential elections in Honduras and Colombia. In July, a group of 11 Democratic members of Congress sent a similar letter arguing that Trump was trying to interfere in Colombia’s election in favour of the far-right millionaire and former lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella, who went on to win the second round. In Thursday’s letter, the lawmakers wrote that US officials under Trump have engaged in a “sustained, multifaceted campaign of interference and destabilization in Brazil”. They noted that when Trump imposed his first tariffs on Brazil last year, he made clear that one reason was Bolsonaro’s trial over his attempt to stage a coup after losing the 2022 election to Lula. The former president was ultimately convicted and, unable to run because he is under house arrest, named his son to take his place. They also cited new tariffs that Trump imposed on Brazil in July under section 301 of US trade law, as well as plans by the US government to send two officials to Brazil to “cast doubt on the integrity of the country’s voting system, considered by many experts to be among the most reliable in the world”. The Lula administration ultimately denied the US delegation visas. The Brazilian president has repeatedly complained that Trump is trying to interfere in Brazil’s elections and, in his speech opening the UN general assembly this week, said, without naming anyone: “We will not allow the enemies of democracy, internal or external, to act against the will of the people.” In the letter sent to Rubio on Friday, the Democratic lawmakers wrote that “rather than helping defend Brazilian democracy”, the US is “acting as an agent of interference and destabilization – using diplomatic, economic and political pressure in ways that risk weakening the country’s democratic institutions, undermining confidence in Brazil’s electoral process, and inflicting further damage on our relationship with a strategic US ally and trading partner”. They asked Rubio if Trump’s administration would commit to respecting Brazil’s electoral process and requested a response by 1 October. The state department has not yet responded to a request for comment.

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France says EU’s ‘Made in Europe’ law should not include the UK

France is leading a push to exclude the UK from the EU’s “Made in Europe” policy that could result in British companies losing out in the race to supply European countries with low-carbon technologies and electric cars. The plans were raised by Andy Burnham when he met the European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, on the sidelines of the UN general assembly earlier this week. The policy, still under negotiation, aims to protect European companies from intense and “unfair” state-subsidised competition from China. But the government fears British companies risk being collateral damage and resolving the issue has become one of Burnham’s top priorities for the EU-UK relationship. One key EU proposal is the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA), which would require authorities spending public money – awarding subsidies or public contracts – to favour European products in sectors such as renewable technologies and electric cars. But there is an intense debate inside the EU on how to define “made in Europe” and how far to include countries such as the UK, Canada and Japan. At a meeting of EU industry ministers in Brussels on Thursday, France pushed for a narrow definition, starting with the EU27. “European taxpayers’ money should support [European] workers and European factories,” the French industry minister, Sébastien Martin, told reporters. Asked about the UK, he said: “The United Kingdom made a choice a few years ago to leave the European Union. “That doesn’t mean that we don’t discuss things or that we don’t trade, it doesn’t mean that there can’t be agreements in certain sectors, but fundamentally there are those who have chosen the European project and those who have decided to leave.” France’s Europe minister, Benjamin Haddad, speaking in London, had few assurances to offer the Burnham government either. Asked about the risks of pushing the EU’s like-minded trading partners away, Haddad said: “At the end of the day, if you are not part of the internal market and if you are not contributing to the financial capacity of the internal market, you don’t get the same kind of protection.” Germany wants a broader “Made with Europe” policy that would include the UK and other allies. Germany’s economic affairs minister, Katherina Reiche, told her counterparts: “We must reduce unilateral and critical dependencies, but we must not isolate ourselves from the rest of the world. This means that partner countries must be included in the union-origin principle, in general and on the condition of reciprocity.” This position gets broad support from Nordic countries, which traditionally favour open trade. Sweden’s outgoing deputy prime minister, Ebba Busch, who leads on business policy, said “we always miss the Brits”. Sweden wanted “a good solution where there is balance, given that some European countries are not members of the European Union but still completely essential for a functioning European market”, she added. The charged internal EU27 debate on Made in Europe raises questions about the timing of the EU-UK reset summit, which was postponed when Keir Starmer stood down as prime minister. Since Burnham took office, no date has been fixed for the talks which are meant to happen in 2026. British officials expect the summit will take place in November, although an earlier 6 November date has been scratched out. By December the EU is expected to be embroiled in deeply difficult internal negotiations on the bloc’s next seven-year budget, which are likely to consume the political bandwidth of EU leaders. EU insiders believe that a Made in Europe agreement is a top priority for the UK, but have cautioned this cannot happen before the union has finalised its own position. One EU diplomat said it was a “big risk” if the UK government were to insist on a deal at an autumn summit. “It puts [the UK] in a corner, because this [Made in Europe criteria] is a process that is very difficult for the EU27 [to agree internally].” The Republic of Ireland, which is chairing EU ministerial negotiations, hopes for an agreement in December on the IAA, including the Made in Europe provisions, between the EU Council and the European parliament. “There are a divergence of views on the Industrial Accelerator Act, on European preference, on working with trusted partners and third countries,” said Ireland’s enterprise minister, Peter Burke. “It is difficult, but we have a pathway in sight.” Poland’s economic development minister, Michał Baranowski, said it was too early to say whether countries such as Switzerland, the UK, Japan, Australia and Canada would be in or out, adding: “All these countries are in the mix of the discussion.” The UK, he said, should have clarity on its status when the EU act is passed, he said, adding: “We are in the last stretch, but this last stretch might take a while.” A UK government spokesperson said: “The UK is a close and trusted European partner, committed to our shared security and economic cooperation. “We will continue to engage with the EU on Made in Europe and work together, as like-minded partners, to boost growth and open up trade.”

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Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says

Russia could launch a limited military attack against a Nato country in the coming months, Danish intelligence said, in one of the starkest warnings yet by western security services. In a report published on Thursday, the Danish defence intelligence service warned of a “low but growing risk” that Russia could launch long-range strikes on Nato infrastructure supporting Ukraine, or carry out a limited incursion into a neighbouring country with a small number of troops, potentially operating without insignia. The report came hours after a fire at a Starlink satellite station in central Poland that local authorities described as an “act of sabotage”. Krzysztof Gawkowski, the deputy prime minister of Poland, said the blaze, which broke out overnight in the Masovian voivodeship, had been “deliberately designed to disable the station”, disrupting internet access for a number of institutions, including the Ukrainian military. Gawkowski said it had not been established who was responsible for the fire, but that “many signs suggest this aligns with Russia’s new ‌doctrine ⁠of attack. “While everything is operational today, we must recognise, as prime minister [Donald] Tusk recently noted, that this is an element of hybrid warfare,” he said. Starlink has become a key part of Ukraine’s military communications, and the incident comes amid a spate of suspected Russian sabotage operations across European infrastructure supporting Ukraine. Earlier this month, Germany publicly blamed Russia for an attempted drone attack on Leipzig/Halle airport, while a series of other incidents – including fires at drone factories and sabotage targeting rail infrastructure – have also been investigated for possible links to Moscow. Russia has denied involvement in such attacks. In recent weeks, several European intelligence chiefs have warned that Russia may be preparing more assertive actions to test Nato countries’ commitment to supporting Ukraine, though officials differ over how imminent such a move may be. Russia is expected to intensify its hybrid attacks against European countries with “greater consequences” for those targeted in the coming months, the Danes warned, including “destructive cyber-attacks that cripple societal functions as well as sabotage attacks that carry a high risk of casualties”. A source familiar with Moscow’s thinking agreed that Russia was likely to step up its hybrid attacks. “Russian military top command is convinced some Nato countries are directly involved in the war against Russia – not just by supplying Ukraine with weapons and intelligence, but by helping to guide missiles and drones,” the source said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “They therefore believe Nato is already waging a hybrid war against Russia, and that Russia has the right to respond in kind,” the source added. “Hybrid attacks” are broad terms generally used to describe non-military tactics aimed at pressuring or destabilising an adversary, including cyber-attacks, sabotage and disinformation. The aim of Russia’s actions would be to divert European resources away from supporting Ukraine, and deepen divisions within Nato if the alliance failed to agree on a collective response, the report added. The service believes it remained “highly unlikely” that Russia would launch an outright invasion of a Nato country, but notably said it “cannot be ruled out”. The Danish services said Russia could seek to test Nato’s article 5, which commits members to collective defence. They warned there was “a risk that Russia assesses that the Nato countries will not respond collectively”, particularly if Moscow believes the US is unable or unwilling to support its European allies in a potential war with Russia. There have been ongoing jitters among Nato members over whether the alliance’s most powerful member, the US, would come to Europe’s defence under Donald Trump in the event of a Russian attack. Questions over unity within Europe are also growing. Last week, Slovakia’s prime minister, Robert Fico, who has maintained close ties with the Kremlin, cast doubt on his country’s commitment to Nato’s collective defence principle, saying he did not want Slovakia drawn into a military conflict “because of some article 5”. Speaking at the UN general assembly on Wednesday, Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that Russia continued to threaten countries beyond Ukraine, including Moldova, Poland and the Baltic states, while showing “no respect” for the sovereignty of countries in the south Caucasus and central Asia. “The more freedom Putin has to act, the more dangerous the world becomes for everyone else,” he said.